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A multistage irrigation water allocation model for agricultural land-use planning under uncertainty

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  • Dai, Z.Y.
  • Li, Y.P.

Abstract

In practical agricultural water management problems, fluctuating water availabilities and demands, varying crop yields and economic profits, as well as changing irrigation patterns in both temporal and spatial scales are challenged decision makers. These challenges are being further compounded by rapid socioeconomic development associated with increased food requirement and decreased resources accessibility. A multistage irrigation water allocation (MIWA) model is developed for agricultural water management and cropland use planning in response to such complexities. The MIWA model is derived from incorporating interval parameters within a multistage stochastic programming (MSP) framework, such that uncertainties expressed as interval parameters and probability distributions can be tackled, and the real-time dynamic irrigation water management can be conducted. It can also support the analysis of various policy scenarios that are associated with different levels of economic consequences when the pre-regulated crop targets are violated over a multistage context. The MIWA model is then applied to a real case of planning agricultural water management and cropland use pattern in Zhangweinan River Basin, which is one of the driest regions in China and faces serious water scarcity. Solutions of irrigation targets for multiple crops as well as actual water-allocation patterns in different growth stages can help determine optimized water and land use in agricultural system, which could hedge appropriately against future available water levels in more profitable and sustainable ways.

Suggested Citation

  • Dai, Z.Y. & Li, Y.P., 2013. "A multistage irrigation water allocation model for agricultural land-use planning under uncertainty," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 69-79.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:agiwat:v:129:y:2013:i:c:p:69-79
    DOI: 10.1016/j.agwat.2013.07.013
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    4. Yao Lu & Min Zhou & Guoliang Ou & Zuo Zhang & Li He & Yuxiang Ma & Chaonan Ma & Jiating Tu & Siqi Li, 2021. "Sustainable Land-Use Allocation Model at a Watershed Level under Uncertainty," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(24), pages 1-19, December.
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    6. Li, Mo & Guo, Ping & Singh, Vijay P., 2016. "An efficient irrigation water allocation model under uncertainty," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 46-57.
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    8. Bingkui Qiu & Shasha Lu & Min Zhou & Lu Zhang & Yu Deng & Ci Song & Zuo Zhang, 2015. "A Hybrid Inexact Optimization Method for Land-Use Allocation in Association with Environmental/Ecological Requirements at a Watershed Level," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-25, April.
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    11. Li, Mo & Guo, Ping, 2015. "A coupled random fuzzy two-stage programming model for crop area optimization—A case study of the middle Heihe River basin, China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 53-66.
    12. Hamze, Mohamad & Cheviron, Bruno & Baghdadi, Nicolas & Lo, Madiop & Courault, Dominique & Zribi, Mehrez, 2023. "Detection of irrigation dates and amounts on maize plots from the integration of Sentinel-2 derived Leaf Area Index values in the Optirrig crop model," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
    13. Zhang, Chenglong & Guo, Ping & Huo, Zailin, 2021. "Irrigation water resources management under uncertainty: An interval nonlinear double-sided fuzzy chance-constrained programming approach," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 245(C).
    14. Shukui Tan & Lu Zhang & Min Zhou & Yanan Li & Siliang Wang & Bing Kuang & Xiang Luo, 2017. "A hybrid mathematical model for urban land-use planning in association with environmental–ecological consideration under uncertainty," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 44(1), pages 54-79, January.
    15. Chen, Shu & Shao, Dongguo & Gu, Wenquan & Xu, Baoli & Li, Haoxin & Fang, Longzhang, 2017. "An interval multistage water allocation model for crop different growth stages under inputs uncertainty," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 186(C), pages 86-97.
    16. Elmira Valipour & Hamed Ketabchi & Reza Safari shali & Saeed Morid, 2023. "Equity, Social Welfare, and Economic Benefit Efficiency in the Optimal Allocation of Coastal Groundwater Resources," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(8), pages 2969-2990, June.
    17. Li, Mo & Cao, Xiaoxu & Liu, Dong & Fu, Qiang & Li, Tianxiao & Shang, Ruochen, 2022. "Sustainable management of agricultural water and land resources under changing climate and socio-economic conditions: A multi-dimensional optimization approach," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    18. Chen, Shu & Shao, Dongguo & Tan, Xuezhi & Gu, Wenquan & Lei, Caixiu, 2017. "An interval multistage classified model for regional inter- and intra-seasonal water management under uncertain and nonstationary condition," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 191(C), pages 98-112.
    19. Li, Mo & Guo, Ping & Singh, Vijay P. & Yang, Gaiqiang, 2016. "An uncertainty-based framework for agricultural water-land resources allocation and risk evaluation," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 10-23.
    20. Zhang, Chenglong & Yang, Gaiqiang & Wang, Chaozi & Huo, Zailin, 2023. "Linking agricultural water-food-environment nexus with crop area planning: A fuzzy credibility-based multi-objective linear fractional programming approach," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).

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