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Simulated impacts of climate change on water use and yield of irrigated sugarcane in South Africa

Author

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  • Jones, M.R.
  • Singels, A.
  • Ruane, A.C.

Abstract

Reliable predictions of climate change impacts on water use, irrigation requirements and yields of irrigated sugarcane in South Africa (a water-scarce country) are necessary to plan adaptation strategies. Although previous work has been done in this regard, methodologies and results vary considerably. The objectives were (1) to estimate likely impacts of climate change on sugarcane yields, water use and irrigation demand at three irrigated sugarcane production sites in South Africa (Malelane, Pongola and La Mercy) for current (1980–2010) and future (2070–2100) climate scenarios, using an approach based on the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) protocols; and (2) to assess the suitability of this methodology for investigating climate change impacts on sugarcane production.

Suggested Citation

  • Jones, M.R. & Singels, A. & Ruane, A.C., 2015. "Simulated impacts of climate change on water use and yield of irrigated sugarcane in South Africa," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 260-270.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:agisys:v:139:y:2015:i:c:p:260-270
    DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2015.07.007
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Knox, J.W. & Rodríguez Díaz, J.A. & Nixon, D.J. & Mkhwanazi, M., 2010. "A preliminary assessment of climate change impacts on sugarcane in Swaziland," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 103(2), pages 63-72, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Yue & Jiang, Kongtao & Shen, Hongzheng & Wang, Nan & Liu, Ruizhe & Wu, Jiujiang & Ma, Xiaoyi, 2023. "Decision-making method for maize irrigation in supplementary irrigation areas based on the DSSAT model and a genetic algorithm," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 280(C).
    2. Santillán-Fernández, A. & Santoyo-Cortés, V.H. & García-Chávez, L.R. & Covarrubias-Gutiérrez, I. & Merino, A., 2016. "Influence of drought and irrigation on sugarcane yields in different agroecoregions in Mexico," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 126-135.
    3. Shirazi, Sana Zeeshan & Mei, Xurong & Liu, Buchun & Liu, Yuan, 2022. "Estimating potential yield and change in water budget for wheat and maize across Huang-Huai-Hai Plain in the future," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).

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