IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/accoun/v48y2013i1p111-133.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Further Evidence on the Usefulness of Direct Method Cash Flow Components for Forecasting Future Cash Flows

Author

Listed:
  • Farshadfar, Shadi
  • Monem, Reza

Abstract

Based on pre-IFRS data from Australia, we provide further evidence that disaggregating operating cash flow into its components enhances the predictive ability of aggregate operating cash flow in forecasting future cash flows. We also find that cash received from customers and cash paid to suppliers and employees complement each other in enhancing the overall predictive ability of cash flow components. The results are robust to a battery of sensitivity tests, including control for industry membership, firm size, profitability, negative cash flows, and the length of the operating cash cycle. Our results contribute to the policy debate as to whether reporting of the direct method cash flow statement should be mandatory.

Suggested Citation

  • Farshadfar, Shadi & Monem, Reza, 2013. "Further Evidence on the Usefulness of Direct Method Cash Flow Components for Forecasting Future Cash Flows," The International Journal of Accounting, Elsevier, vol. 48(1), pages 111-133.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:accoun:v:48:y:2013:i:1:p:111-133
    DOI: 10.1016/j.intacc.2012.12.001
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0020706312001513
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.intacc.2012.12.001?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Watts, Rl & Leftwich, Rw, 1977. "Time-Series Of Annual Accounting Earnings," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(2), pages 253-271.
    2. Myungsun Kim & William Kross, 2005. "The Ability of Earnings to Predict Future Operating Cash Flows Has Been Increasing—Not Decreasing," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(5), pages 753-780, December.
    3. Amir, Eli & Lev, Baruch, 1996. "Value-relevance of nonfinancial information: The wireless communications industry," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1-3), pages 3-30, October.
    4. Neal Arthur & Marco Cheng & Robert Czernkowski, 2010. "Cash flow disaggregation and the prediction of future earnings," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 50(1), pages 1-30, March.
    5. Hausman, Jerry, 2015. "Specification tests in econometrics," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 38(2), pages 112-134.
    6. Dechow, Patricia M., 1994. "Accounting earnings and cash flows as measures of firm performance : The role of accounting accruals," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 3-42, July.
    7. Mitchell A. Petersen, 2009. "Estimating Standard Errors in Finance Panel Data Sets: Comparing Approaches," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(1), pages 435-480, January.
    8. Dechow, Patricia M. & Kothari, S. P. & L. Watts, Ross, 1998. "The relation between earnings and cash flows," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(2), pages 133-168, May.
    9. Andreas Charitou, 1997. "The role of cash flows and accruals in explaining security returns: evidence for the UK," European Accounting Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(4), pages 629-652.
    10. Nelson, Karen K. & Barth, Mary E. & Cram, Donald, 2001. "Accruals and the Prediction of Future Cash Flows," Research Papers 1594r, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business.
    11. Taylor, William E., 1980. "Small sample considerations in estimation from panel data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 13(2), pages 203-223, June.
    12. C. Cheng & Dana Hollie, 2008. "Do core and non-core cash flows from operations persist differentially in predicting future cash flows?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 31(1), pages 29-53, July.
    13. Michael Bradbury, 2011. "Direct or Indirect Cash Flow Statements?," Australian Accounting Review, CPA Australia, vol. 21(2), pages 124-130, June.
    14. Francis, J & Schipper, K, 1999. "Have financial statements lost their relevance?," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(2), pages 319-352.
    15. Gopal V. Krishnan & James A. Largay III, 2000. "The Predictive Ability of Direct Method Cash Flow Information," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(1‐2), pages 215-245, January.
    16. Ismail, Badr & Choi, Kwan, 1996. "Determinants of time-series properties of earnings and cash flows," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 131-145.
    17. Wallace, R. S. Olusegun & Choudhury, Mohammed S. I. & Pendlebury, Maurice, 1997. "Cash flow statements: An international comparison of regulatory positions," The International Journal of Accounting, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 1-22.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Oz, Ibrahim Onur & Yelkenci, Tezer & Meral, Gorkem, 2021. "The role of earnings components and machine learning on the revelation of deteriorating firm performance," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    2. Olfa Ben Jemaa & Mohamed Toukabri & Faouzi Jilani, 2015. "The Examination of the Ability of Earnings and Cash Flow in Predicting Future Cash Flows: Application to the Tunisian Context," Accounting and Finance Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 4(1), pages 1-1, February.
    3. Mattia Iotti & Giuseppe Bonazzi, 2016. "Assessment of Biogas Plant Firms by Application of Annual Accounts and Financial Data Analysis Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-19, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Shadi Farshadfar & Reza Monem, 2013. "The usefulness of operating cash flow and accrual components in improving the predictive ability of earnings: a re-examination and extension," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 53(4), pages 1061-1082, December.
    2. Shadi Farshadfar & Reza M. Monem, 2019. "Further evidence of the relationship between accruals and future cash flows," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 59(1), pages 143-176, March.
    3. Richard Kent & Jacqueline Birt, 2021. "IAS 7 and value relevance: the direct method versus the indirect method," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 26(4), pages 1532-1586, December.
    4. Li Yu (Colly) He & Sue Wright & Elaine Evans, 2018. "Is fair value information relevant to investment decision-making: Evidence from the Australian agricultural sector?," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 43(4), pages 555-574, November.
    5. Dechow, Patricia & Ge, Weili & Schrand, Catherine, 2010. "Understanding earnings quality: A review of the proxies, their determinants and their consequences," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(2-3), pages 344-401, December.
    6. Bradley Blaylock & Bradley P. Lawson & Michael A. Mayberry, 2020. "Taxable income, future profitability, and stock returns," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(7-8), pages 858-881, July.
    7. Palea, Vera & Scagnelli, Simone Domenico, 2014. "Do Earnings Reported under IFRS Improve the Prediction of Future Cash Flows? Evidence From European Banks," Department of Economics and Statistics Cognetti de Martiis. Working Papers 201443, University of Turin.
    8. Baljit K. Sidhu & CHUAN YU, 2021. "Direct Method Operating Cash Flow Disclosures: Determinants and Incremental Usefulness," Abacus, Accounting Foundation, University of Sydney, vol. 57(3), pages 421-467, September.
    9. Iain Clacher & Alan Duboisée Ricquebourg & Allan Hodgson, 2013. "The Value Relevance of Direct Cash Flows under International Financial Reporting Standards," Abacus, Accounting Foundation, University of Sydney, vol. 49(3), pages 367-395, September.
    10. Sompong Pornupatham & Hun-Tong Tan & Thanyaluk Vichitsarawong & G-Song Yoo, 2023. "The Effect of Cash Flow Presentation Method on Investors’ Forecast of Future Cash Flows," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(3), pages 1877-1900, March.
    11. Yang Pang & Shimeng Shi & Yukun Shi & Yang Zhao, 2022. "A nonlinear dynamic approach to cash flow forecasting," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 59(1), pages 205-237, July.
    12. Tahat, Yasean A. & Alhadab, Mohammad, 2017. "Have accounting numbers lost their value relevance during the recent financial credit crisis?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 182-191.
    13. Edith Leung & David Veenman, 2018. "Non‐GAAP Earnings Disclosure in Loss Firms," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 56(4), pages 1083-1137, September.
    14. Jing Jia & Zhongtian Li, 2022. "Corporate sustainability, earnings persistence and the association between earnings and future cash flows," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 62(1), pages 299-336, March.
    15. S. P. Kothari & Charles Wasley, 2019. "Commemorating the 50‐Year Anniversary of Ball and Brown (1968): The Evolution of Capital Market Research over the Past 50 Years," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 57(5), pages 1117-1159, December.
    16. Yaniv Konchitchki & Yan Luo & Mary L. Z. Ma & Feng Wu, 2016. "Accounting-based downside risk, cost of capital, and the macroeconomy," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 1-36, March.
    17. Pütter, Jonas, 2023. "Is Cash (the only) King? – Eine kritische Analyse der Aussagekraft von Kapitalflussrechnungen nach IAS 7 [Is Cash (the only) King? – A critical analysis of the relevance of Cashflow figures accordi," Junior Management Science (JUMS), Junior Management Science e. V., vol. 8(1), pages 219-236.
    18. Laura Arnedo & Fermín Lizarraga & Santiago Sánchez, 2012. "The role of accounting accruals for the prediction of future cash flows: evidence from Spain," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 3(4), pages 499-520, December.
    19. Takashi Obinata, 2002. "Concept and Relevance of Income," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-171, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    20. Dreher, Sandra & Eichfelder, Sebastian & Noth, Felix, 2022. "Does IFRS information on tax loss carryforwards and negative performance improve predictions of earnings and cash flows?," arqus Discussion Papers in Quantitative Tax Research 276, arqus - Arbeitskreis Quantitative Steuerlehre.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Cash flow; Cash flow components; Forecasting future cash flows; Direct method; Indirect method;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • M41 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Accounting

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:accoun:v:48:y:2013:i:1:p:111-133. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/620179 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.