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Comparative Analysis of Volatility Structures of Stock Index and Energy Company Returns in Kazakhstan

Author

Listed:
  • Baltaim Sabenova

    (Peoples Friendship University named after Academician A. Kuatbekov, Shymkent, Kazakhstan)

  • Indira Baubekova

    (M. Auezov South Kazakhstan University, Shymkent, Kazakhstan)

  • Gulmira Issayeva

    (M. Auezov South Kazakhstan University, Shymkent, Kazakhstan)

  • Zarema Bigeldiyeva

    (M. Auezov South Kazakhstan University, Shymkent, Kazakhstan)

  • Artur Bolganbayev

    (Khoja Akhmet Yassawi International Kazakh-Turkish University, Turkestan, Kazakhstan.)

Abstract

Kazakhstan Stock Exchange (KASE) is established on November 17, 1993, with the participation of 23 leading Kazakh banks under the leadership of the National Bank of the Republic of Kazakhstan. KASE has had an important position in the country's economy since then. This study comparatively analyses the volatility structures of the return of the KASE Composite Index and the returns of the oil and energy companies traded in the KASE in the period between 5.01.2021 and 4.01.2023. The preliminary test (ARCH LM) showed that the volatility structure of the past period is effective on the current period in all four returns. Based on this finding, the structure of the series was evaluated with four different models. All four return series conformed with the GARCH-M (1, 1) model. Accordingly, the finding that oil and energy companies and the stock market composite index have the same volatility structure is important for investor decisions. Moreover, the finding that any past financial shock or volatility fluctuation affects the current return will positively affect the estimation of the future value of financial assets.

Suggested Citation

  • Baltaim Sabenova & Indira Baubekova & Gulmira Issayeva & Zarema Bigeldiyeva & Artur Bolganbayev, 2023. "Comparative Analysis of Volatility Structures of Stock Index and Energy Company Returns in Kazakhstan," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(2), pages 200-206, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2023-02-21
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    4. Saken Ualikhanovich Abdibekov & Bauyrzhan Susaruly Kulbay & Yelena Evgenevna Gridneva & Gulnar Shaimardanovna Kaliakparova & Tolendi Aripbaevich Ashimbayev & Gulmira Amangeldiyevna Perneyeva, 2023. "The Relationship between the Share of Renewable Energy in Total Energy Consumption and Economic Growth: Kazakhstan and Turkiye Comparision," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(5), pages 24-30, September.
    5. Tazhikul Mashirova & Karlygash Tastanbekova & Murat Nurgabylov & Gulnar Lukhmanova & Kundyz Myrzabekkyzy, 2023. "Analysis of the Relationship between the Highest Price and the Trading Volume of the Energy Company Shares in Kazakhstan with Frequency Domain Causality Method," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(4), pages 22-27, July.
    6. Saken Ualikhanovich Abdibekov & Yelena Evgenevna Gridneva & Gulnar Shaimardanovna Kaliakparova & Nazigul Amankeldikyzy Amankeldi & Gulmira Amangeldiyevna Perneyeva & Bauyrzhan Susaruly Kulbay & Kundyz, 2024. "The Relationship between Energy Consumption, Agricultural and Industrial Production, and Economic Growth: ARDL Border Value Approach in the Case of Kazakhstan," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(3), pages 79-86, May.
    7. Gaukhar Niyetalina & Elmira Balapanova & Almas Kuralbayev & Gulnar Lukhmanova & Artur Bolganbayev, 2023. "The Relationship of Energy Generation from Fossil Fuels, Low Carbon Resources, and Renewable Resources and Inflation within the Framework of Taylor s Rule: The Case of Kazakhstan," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(4), pages 9-15, July.
    8. Zamzagul Sultanova & Galimzhan A. Pazilov & Lyailya Baibulekova & Gulzhakhan Kassymbekova & Gulnar Lukhmanova & Gulmira Issayeva & Kundyz Myrzabekkyzy, 2024. "Comparative Analysis of the Volatility Structures of the Stock Prices of Energy Companies Traded on the Kazakhstan Stock Exchange and International Gold and Oil Prices," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(1), pages 21-30, January.
    9. Aina B. Aidarova & Gulshat Abdimutalipovna Zhadigerova & Ainur Abilkassym & Lyailya Abdybayevna Baibulekova & Dina B. Balabekova & Saule A. Ilasheva, 2023. "Analysis of the Relationship between Energy Consumption, Foreign Direct Investment, and Labor Force Participation by Vector Error Correction Model: The Case of Kazakhstan," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(5), pages 108-114, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Kazakhstan; KASE; Stock Return; Stock; Oil; Energy.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C20 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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