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The Relationship between Energy Consumption, Agricultural and Industrial Production, and Economic Growth: ARDL Border Value Approach in the Case of Kazakhstan

Author

Listed:
  • Saken Ualikhanovich Abdibekov

    (Al-Farabi Kazakh National University, Almaty, Kazakhstan)

  • Yelena Evgenevna Gridneva

    (Caspian Public University, Almaty, Kazakhstan)

  • Gulnar Shaimardanovna Kaliakparova

    (Caspian Public University, Almaty, Kazakhstan)

  • Nazigul Amankeldikyzy Amankeldi

    (Caspian Public University, Almaty, Kazakhstan)

  • Gulmira Amangeldiyevna Perneyeva

    (Eurasian Technological University, Almaty, Kazakhstan)

  • Bauyrzhan Susaruly Kulbay

    (Mukhtar Auezov South Kazakhstan University, Shymkent, Kazakhstan)

  • Kundyz Myrzabekkyzy

    (Khoja Akhmet Yassawi International Kazakh-Turkish University, Turkestan, Kazakhstan)

Abstract

This study analyzes the impact of energy consumption and industrial and agricultural production on economic growth between 2000 and 2022 in Kazakhstan using the ARDL method. The research findings determined that all three variables affect the economic growth of Kazakhstan. Another important finding is that, within the framework of the variables included in the analysis, the model shows that after a shock, the economic structure will recover and regain its footing in a short period, such as 1.5 years. Therefore this study provides important information to Kazakh decision-makers and gives confidence in the solidity of the country's economic structure. The study employs a model that includes industrial production and agricultural production, along with energy consumption on economic growth, as only one variable (index variable). As well known, production and trade as fields of economic activity can also be taken separately. Therefore they can be included in the model separately and their individual effects on GDP can be analyzed. By carrying out studies in this manner, we can identify the determinants of the Kazakh economy and use sample applications to analyze the dynamics of economic growth in general.

Suggested Citation

  • Saken Ualikhanovich Abdibekov & Yelena Evgenevna Gridneva & Gulnar Shaimardanovna Kaliakparova & Nazigul Amankeldikyzy Amankeldi & Gulmira Amangeldiyevna Perneyeva & Bauyrzhan Susaruly Kulbay & Kundyz, 2024. "The Relationship between Energy Consumption, Agricultural and Industrial Production, and Economic Growth: ARDL Border Value Approach in the Case of Kazakhstan," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(3), pages 79-86, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2024-03-8
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Kazakhstan; Energy Consumption; Agricultural Production; Industrial Production; Economic Growth; Autoregressive Distributed Lag;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C20 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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