IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eco/journ2/2021-06-37.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Supply and Demand Analysis for the Turkish Electricity Market: Supply Adequacy and Resource Utilization

Author

Listed:
  • Selim nay

    (Department of Industrial Engineering, Kadir Has University, Istanbul, Turkey)

  • Ahmet Y cekaya

    (Department of Industrial Engineering, Kadir Has University, Istanbul, Turkey)

  • Ay e Bilge

    (Department of Industrial Engineering, Kadir Has University, Istanbul, Turkey)

  • Esra A ca Aktun

    (Department of Industrial Engineering, Kadir Has University, Istanbul, Turkey)

Abstract

Electricity is a critical commodity for which the demand should be met using reliable, cost-effective, and sustainable resources. The characteristics of supply and demand should be comparatively analyzed for efficient electric power system planning. This study examines Turkey s current electricity supply and demand and their characteristics for future balance. Turkey s installed capacity and electricity consumption per capita are analyzed using historical data, and trends for future electricity demand are estimated. Electricity supply based on generation sources is reviewed, and the historical contribution of each source to total generation is shown. Statistical distribution of electricity generation by generation types and their relationships are also investigated. As the supply adequacy should be carefully reviewed for sustainability, finally, the characteristics of supply are analyzed using capacity factors, reserve margins, capacity margins, load duration curves, and peak-to-average demand ratios. It is shown that although the margins are above comfortable levels after 2017, they still need to be increased as the increased use of renewables might require extra availability. The load duration curves and peak-to-average demand ratios have shown that the density of demand is increasing, and capacity needs to be expanded and utilized carefully in the future for the reliability of the power system.

Suggested Citation

  • Selim nay & Ahmet Y cekaya & Ay e Bilge & Esra A ca Aktun, 2021. "A Supply and Demand Analysis for the Turkish Electricity Market: Supply Adequacy and Resource Utilization," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(6), pages 315-327.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2021-06-37
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/download/11412/6133
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/view/11412/6133
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jordehi, A. Rezaee, 2019. "Optimisation of demand response in electric power systems, a review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 308-319.
    2. Rochlin, Cliff, 2004. "Resource Adequacy Requirement, Reserve Margin, and the Public Goods Argument," The Electricity Journal, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 52-59, April.
    3. Child, Michael & Kemfert, Claudia & Bogdanov, Dmitrii & Breyer, Christian, 2019. "Flexible electricity generation, grid exchange and storage for the transition to a 100% renewable energy system in Europe," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 139, pages 80-101.
    4. Finon, Dominique & Pignon, Virginie, 2008. "Electricity and long-term capacity adequacy: The quest for regulatory mechanism compatible with electricity market," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 143-158, September.
    5. Peter Cramton, 2017. "Electricity market design," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 33(4), pages 589-612.
    6. Benli, Hüseyin, 2013. "Potential of renewable energy in electrical energy production and sustainable energy development of Turkey: Performance and policies," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 33-46.
    7. Toklu, E., 2017. "Biomass energy potential and utilization in Turkey," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 235-244.
    8. Jean-Michel Glachant, 2014. "Capacity remuneration mechanisms in the European market: now but how?," EUI-RSCAS Working Papers p0400, European University Institute (EUI), Robert Schuman Centre of Advanced Studies (RSCAS).
    9. Arthur Henriot & Jean-Michel Glachant, 2014. "Capacity remuneration mechanisms in the European market: now but how?," RSCAS Working Papers 2014/84, European University Institute.
    10. Dominique Finon & Virginie Pignon, 2008. "Electricity and long-term capacity adequacy: The quest for regulatory mechanism compatible with electricity market," Post-Print hal-00716312, HAL.
    11. Cepeda, Mauricio & Finon, Dominique, 2011. "Generation capacity adequacy in interdependent electricity markets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(6), pages 3128-3143, June.
    12. Bulut, Umit & Muratoglu, Gonul, 2018. "Renewable energy in Turkey: Great potential, low but increasing utilization, and an empirical analysis on renewable energy-growth nexus," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 240-250.
    13. Reimers, Andrew & Cole, Wesley & Frew, Bethany, 2019. "The impact of planning reserve margins in long-term planning models of the electricity sector," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 1-8.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Rizqi, Zakka Ugih & Chou, Shuo-Yan & Yu, Tiffany Hui-Kuang, 2023. "Green energy mix modeling under supply uncertainty: Hybrid system dynamics and adaptive PSO approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 349(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Keppler, Jan Horst & Quemin, Simon & Saguan, Marcelo, 2022. "Why the sustainable provision of low-carbon electricity needs hybrid markets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    2. Crampes, Claude & Salant, David, 2018. "A multi-regional model of electric resource adequacy," TSE Working Papers 18-877, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    3. Mastropietro, Paolo & Rodilla, Pablo & Rivier, Michel & Batlle, Carlos, 2024. "Reliability options: Regulatory recommendations for the next generation of capacity remuneration mechanisms," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
    4. Simshauser, Paul, 2020. "Merchant renewables and the valuation of peaking plant in energy-only markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    5. Simshauser, Paul, 2022. "Rooftop solar PV and the peak load problem in the NEM's Queensland region," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    6. Gohdes, Nicholas & Simshauser, Paul & Wilson, Clevo, 2023. "Renewable investments, hybridised markets and the energy crisis: Optimising the CfD-merchant revenue mix," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    7. Petitet, Marie & Finon, Dominique & Janssen, Tanguy, 2017. "Capacity adequacy in power markets facing energy transition: A comparison of scarcity pricing and capacity mechanism," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 30-46.
    8. Ochoa, Camila & van Ackere, Ann, 2015. "Does size matter? Simulating electricity market coupling between Colombia and Ecuador," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 1108-1124.
    9. Cepeda, Mauricio & Finon, Dominique, 2013. "How to correct for long-term externalities of large-scale wind power development by a capacity mechanism?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 671-685.
    10. Glachant, Jean-Michel, 2016. "Tacking stock of the EU “Power Target Model”… and steering its future course," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 673-679.
    11. Gohdes, N.Nicholas & Simshauser,P. & Wilson, C., 2023. "Renewable investments in hybridised energy markets: optimising the CfD-merchant revenue mix," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2334, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    12. Gohdes, Nicholas, 2023. "Unhedged risk in hybrid energy markets: Optimising the revenue mix of Australian solar," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1363-1380.
    13. Simshauser, Paul & Gilmore, Joel, 2022. "Climate change policy discontinuity & Australia's 2016-2021 renewable investment supercycle," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    14. repec:dau:papers:123456789/13149 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Simshauser, P., 2021. "Rooftop Solar PV and the Peak Load Problem in the NEM’s Queensland Region," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2180, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    16. Sakellaris, Kostis, 2009. "The Greek Capacity Adequacy Mechanism: Design, Incentives, Strategic Behavior and Regulatory Remedies," MPRA Paper 24642, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Elberg, Christina, 2014. "Cross-Border Effects of Capacity Mechanisms in Electricity Markets," EWI Working Papers 2014-11, Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln (EWI).
    18. Juha Teirilä and Robert A. Ritz, 2019. "Strategic Behaviour in a Capacity Market? The New Irish Electricity Market Design," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(The New E).
    19. Simshauser, P., 2020. "Merchant utilities and boundaries of the firm: vertical integration in energy-only markets," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2039, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    20. Simshauser, P. & Gilmore, J., 2020. "Is the NEM broken? Policy discontinuity and the 2017-2020 investment megacycle," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2048, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    21. Rious, Vincent & Perez, Yannick & Roques, Fabien, 2015. "Which electricity market design to encourage the development of demand response?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 128-138.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Electricity Supply-Demand; Electricity Generation Sources; Consumption Trends; Capacity Factor; Reserve Margin; Load Duration Curve;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • L94 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Electric Utilities

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2021-06-37. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ilhan Ozturk (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.econjournals.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.