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Forecasting Sustainable Development of Transport Sectors of Russia and EU: Energy Consumption and Efficiency

Author

Listed:
  • Leonty Viktorovich Eder

    (Economic Faculty, Novosibirsk State University, Novosibirsk, Russia,)

  • Irina Filimonova

    (Economic Faculty, Novosibirsk State University, Novosibirsk, Russia,)

  • Vasiliy Nemov

    (Institute of petroleum Geology and Geophysics SB RAS, Novosibirsk, Russia,)

  • Irina Provornaya

    (Institute of petroleum Geology and Geophysics SB RAS, Novosibirsk, Russia.)

Abstract

The paper analyzes energy efficiency for the road transport of Russia and its regions against the backdrop of the ongoing processes in the EU countries. The emphasis is laid on mathematical modeling of energy consumption forecasts for the transport sector. The results show that despite the fact that economy of Russia as a whole has a relatively low level of energy efficiency however in road transport the situation is different. Total consumption of energy in Russia s transport sector is expected to decrease by 15% by 2040, despite a significant increase in the number of vehicles. However, unlike in the EU, the share of renewable sources of energy will be relatively low in the structure of energy consumption in Russia.

Suggested Citation

  • Leonty Viktorovich Eder & Irina Filimonova & Vasiliy Nemov & Irina Provornaya, 2018. "Forecasting Sustainable Development of Transport Sectors of Russia and EU: Energy Consumption and Efficiency," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(2), pages 74-80.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2018-02-9
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Liddle, Brantley & Lung, Sidney, 2013. "The long-run causal relationship between transport energy consumption and GDP: Evidence from heterogeneous panel methods robust to cross-sectional dependence," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 121(3), pages 524-527.
    2. Joyce Dargay & Dermot Gately & Martin Sommer, 2007. "Vehicle Ownership and Income Growth, Worldwide: 1960-2030," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 4), pages 143-170.
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    Cited by:

    1. Valery F. Anisimov & Yuri V. Truntsevsky & Valery V. Bessel & Saltanat Yessetova, 2020. "Prospects of Development of the Oil Industry in the Global Economy and in the Regional Economies," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(1), pages 265-279.
    2. Iurii Prokazov & Vladimir Gorbanyov & Vadim Samusenkov & Irina Razinkina & Monika Chłąd, 2021. "Assessing the Flexibility of Renewable Energy Multinational Corporations," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-19, June.
    3. Zhijuan Zhang & Marcin Lis, 2020. "Modeling Green Energy Development Based on Sustainable Economic Growth in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-18, February.
    4. Anna Komarnicka & Anna Murawska, 2021. "Comparison of Consumption and Renewable Sources of Energy in European Union Countries—Sectoral Indicators, Economic Conditions and Environmental Impacts," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-24, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    energy consumption; energy efficiency; road transport;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q35 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Hydrocarbon Resources
    • Q42 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Alternative Energy Sources
    • Q47 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy Forecasting

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