IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eco/journ1/2018-06-14.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Efficient Market Hypothesis: Foreign Exchange Market of Bangladesh

Author

Listed:
  • Mahamuda Firoj

    (Department of Economics and Banking, International Islamic University Chittagong, Kumira, Chittagong - 4318, Bangladesh.)

  • Sharmina Khanom

    (Department of Economics and Banking, International Islamic University Chittagong, Kumira, Chittagong - 4318, Bangladesh.)

Abstract

Efficiency in a foreign exchange market (FEM) is very essential for a developing economy like Bangladesh as the foreign exchange rates play a critical role to determine the various macroeconomic policies and issues of an economy. Thus the main objective of this paper is to investigate the efficiency of the FEM of Bangladesh. Statistics that have worn in this paper comprises of nominal daily exchange rates (spot) of seven bilateral currency rates in opposition to the Bangladeshi currency Taka over the period 1st January 2010 to 30th November 2017 obtained from the website of Bangladesh Bank. The unit root test and the cointegration test are run by econometric software to look into the efficiency of the FEM of Bangladesh. The concluding findings indicate that all the seven exchange rates succeed the random walk hypothesis and this is the verification of the weak form of efficiency. Moreover, the cointegration scrutiny depicts there is no indication of the semi-strong form of efficiency in the FEM of Bangladesh.

Suggested Citation

  • Mahamuda Firoj & Sharmina Khanom, 2018. "Efficient Market Hypothesis: Foreign Exchange Market of Bangladesh," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 8(6), pages 99-103.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ1:2018-06-14
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/download/7097/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/7097/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Michael Bleaney, 1998. "Market Efficiency and Apparent Unit Roots: An Application to Exchange Rates," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 74(225), pages 139-144, June.
    2. repec:bla:ecorec:v:74:y:1998:i:225:p:139-44 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Alan Speight & David McMillan, 2001. "Cointegration and predictability in prereform east European black-market exchange rates," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(12), pages 755-759.
    4. Gofaone Matebejana & Gaotlhobogwe Motlaleng & James Juana, 2017. "Foreign Exchange Market Efficiency In Botswana," Review of Economic and Business Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 19, pages 55-74, June.
    5. Zacharatos, N. & Sutcliffe, C., 1999. "Is the Forward Rate for the Greek Drachma Unbiased? A VECM Analysis with both Overlapping and Non-Overlapping Data," Papers 99-151, University of Southampton - Department of Accounting and Management Science.
    6. Hossain, Monzur & Ahmed, Mansur, 2009. "Exchange Rate Policy under Floating Regime in Bangladesh: An Assessment and Strategic Policy Options," MPRA Paper 20487, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Fama, Eugene F, 1991. "Efficient Capital Markets: II," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 46(5), pages 1575-1617, December.
    8. repec:pid:wpaper:2012:82 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Fama, Eugene F, 1970. "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 383-417, May.
    10. Guneratne Banda Wickremasinghe, 2004. "Efficiency Of Foreign Exchange Markets: A Developing Country Perspective," International Finance 0406004, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Abdullah M. Noman & Minhaz U. Ahmed, 2009. "Efficiency of the foreign exchange markets in South Asia," Afro-Asian Journal of Finance and Accounting, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 1(4), pages 295-305.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Dammak, Wael & Boutouria, Nahla & Ben Hamad, Salah & de Peretti, Christian, 2023. "Investor behavior in the currency option market during the COVID-19 pandemic," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    2. Julio E. Sandubete & León Beleña & Juan Carlos García-Villalobos, 2023. "Testing the Efficient Market Hypothesis and the Model-Data Paradox of Chaos on Top Currencies from the Foreign Exchange Market (FOREX)," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-29, January.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Guneratne B Wickremasinghe & Jae H Kim, 2008. "Weak-Form Efficiency of Foreign Exchange Markets of Developing Economies," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 7(2), pages 169-196, August.
    2. Sifunjo E. Kisaka & Wainaina Gituro & Pokhariyal Ganesh & Ngugi W. Rose, 2008. "An analysis of the efficiency of the foreign exchange market in Kenya," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 14(2), pages 1-13.
    3. José A. Roldán-Casas & Mª B. García-Moreno García, 2022. "A procedure for testing the hypothesis of weak efficiency in financial markets: a Monte Carlo simulation," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 31(5), pages 1289-1327, December.
    4. Gofaone Matebejana & Gaotlhobogwe Motlaleng & James Juana, 2017. "Foreign Exchange Market Efficiency In Botswana," Review of Economic and Business Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 19, pages 55-74, June.
    5. Christiane Goodfellow & Dirk Schiereck & Steffen Wippler, 2013. "Are behavioural finance equity funds a superior investment? A note on fund performance and market efficiency," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 14(2), pages 111-119, April.
    6. Shi, Huai-Long & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2022. "Factor volatility spillover and its implications on factor premia," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    7. Carlo Rosa & Giovanni Verga, 2006. "The Impact of Central Bank Announcements on Asset Prices in Real Time: Testing the Efficiency of the Euribor Futures Market," CEP Discussion Papers dp0764, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    8. Thomas Delcey, 2019. "Samuelson vs Fama on the Efficient Market Hypothesis: The Point of View of Expertise [Samuelson vs Fama sur l’efficience informationnelle des marchés financiers : le point de vue de l’expertise]," Post-Print hal-01618347, HAL.
    9. Vicente Esteve & Manuel Navarro-Ibáñez & María A. Prats, 2013. "The present value model of US stock prices revisited: long-run evidence with structural breaks, 1871-2010," Working Papers 04/13, Instituto Universitario de Análisis Económico y Social.
    10. Ortiz-Cruz, Alejandro & Rodriguez, Eduardo & Ibarra-Valdez, Carlos & Alvarez-Ramirez, Jose, 2012. "Efficiency of crude oil markets: Evidences from informational entropy analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 365-373.
    11. Andrey Shternshis & Piero Mazzarisi & Stefano Marmi, 2022. "Efficiency of the Moscow Stock Exchange before 2022," Papers 2207.10476, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2022.
    12. David Peón & Anxo Calvo, 2012. "Using Behavioral Economics to Analyze Credit Policies in the Banking Industry," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3), pages 145-160.
    13. Brice Corgnet & Cary Deck & Mark Desantis & Kyle Hampton & Erik O Kimbrough, 2019. "Reconsidering Rational Expectations and the Aggregation of Diverse Information in Laboratory Security Markets," Working Papers halshs-02146611, HAL.
    14. Maneenop, Sakkakom & Kotcharin, Suntichai, 2020. "The impacts of COVID-19 on the global airline industry: An event study approach," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    15. Tetsushi Homma & Yoshiro Tsutsui & Uri Benzion, 2005. "Exchange rate and stock prices in Japan," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(7), pages 469-478.
    16. Ladislav Kristoufek & Paulo Ferreira, 2018. "Capital asset pricing model in Portugal: Evidence from fractal regressions," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 17(3), pages 173-183, November.
    17. Alexandros E. Milionis & Evangelia Papanagiotou, 2008. "A Note on the Use of Moving Average Trading Rules to Test For Weak from Efficiency in Capital Markets," Working Papers 91, Bank of Greece.
    18. Nuzzo, Simone & Morone, Andrea, 2017. "Asset markets in the lab: A literature review," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 42-50.
    19. Stephan Schulmeister, 2000. "Technical Analysis and Exchange Rate Dynamics," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 25857, August.
    20. Paulo Ferreira & Éder J.A.L. Pereira & Hernane B.B. Pereira, 2020. "From Big Data to Econophysics and Its Use to Explain Complex Phenomena," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-10, July.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Foreign Exchange Market; Exchange Rate; Efficiency.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eco:journ1:2018-06-14. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ilhan Ozturk (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.econjournals.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.