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Keynesian and New Classical Models of Unemployment Revisited

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  • McAleer, Michael
  • McKenzie, C R

Abstract

Several Keynesian and New Classical models of unemployment for the United States are reevaluated. The models are examined for adequacy by testing the cross-equation restrictions (where appropriate) and using diagnostic and nonnested tests that explicitly recognize the problem introduced by generated regressors. The best New Classical model for the 1946-73 period is found to be adequate when it is estimated over the 1946-85 period, whereas the Keynesian model is not. Existing results of tests obtained at the single-equation level ignoring generated regressors are not always supported when the test statistics are calculated using the correct covariance matrix or maximum likelihood. Copyright 1991 by Royal Economic Society.

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  • McAleer, Michael & McKenzie, C R, 1991. "Keynesian and New Classical Models of Unemployment Revisited," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 101(406), pages 359-381, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecj:econjl:v:101:y:1991:i:406:p:359-81
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    1. Guth, W. & van Damme, E.E.C., 1989. "Equilibrium selection in the Spence signaling game," Other publications TiSEM b07518f4-8066-4c5b-b38d-2, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    2. D.P. Doessel & Abbas Valadkhani, 2002. "Public Finance and The Size of Government: A Literature Review and Econometric Results for Fiji," School of Economics and Finance Discussion Papers and Working Papers Series 108, School of Economics and Finance, Queensland University of Technology.
    3. van der Ploeg, F. & de Zeeuw, A.J., 1992. "A differential game of international pollution control," Other publications TiSEM 63432fbc-f558-422b-93d9-4, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    4. Florian PELGRIN & Alain GUAY & Richard LUGER, 2004. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: An empirical assessment," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 418, Econometric Society.
    5. W D A Bryant, 2009. "General Equilibrium:Theory and Evidence," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 6875, December.
    6. McAleer, Michael, 1995. "The significance of testing empirical non-nested models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 67(1), pages 149-171, May.
    7. McAleer, M. & Pesaran, M.H. & Bera, A.K., 1990. "Alternative approaches to testing non-nested models with autocorrelated disturbances : an application to models of U.S. unemployment," Other publications TiSEM 1db235af-e3ae-45a5-861d-8, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    8. Nwaobi, Godwin C, 2009. "Inflation,Unemployment and Nigerian Families: An empirical investigation," MPRA Paper 14596, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Prof. Neil D. Karunaratne, 1999. "Rival Macroeconomic Models And Australian Stylised Facts," Discussion Papers Series 261, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
    10. Eduard J. Bomhoff, 1991. "Stability of Velocity in the Major Industrial Countries: A Kalman Filter Approach," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 38(3), pages 626-642, September.
    11. MICHAEL McALEER, 1992. "Efficient Estimation: The Rao‐Zyskind Condition, Kruskal's Theorem and Ordinary Least Squares," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 68(1), pages 65-72, March.
    12. Keuzenkamp, Hugo A. & McAleer, Michael, 1997. "The complexity of simplicity," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 553-561.
    13. Verbeek, M.J.C.M. & Nijman, T.E., 1993. "Incomplete panels and selection bias : A survey," Other publications TiSEM 08061352-957b-4f56-b303-9, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    14. McAleer, Michael & Smith, Jeremy, 1992. "Bootstrap estimates of a new classical model of unemployment," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 33(5), pages 545-550.
    15. Paul Oslington, 2012. "General Equilibrium: Theory and Evidence," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 88(282), pages 446-448, September.

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