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The Peronist´s constitutional reform: Measuring the 1949 constitutional reform on Argentine economic performance using synthetic control method

Author

Listed:
  • Maurício F. B. Oliveira

    (Universidade Federal de Pelotas (UFPel))

  • Daniel A. P. Uhr

    (Universidade Federal de Pelotas (UFPel))

  • Júlia G. Z. Uhr

    (Universidade Federal de Pelotas (UFPel))

Abstract

This article aims to test the impact of the Peronist constitutional reform of 1949 on Argentina's short-term economic growth. We are the first article to assess the short-term effect of this institutional reform. We applied the Synthetic Control Method to data from The Maddion Project. The results show that the constitutional changes in 1949 had an average negative effect of US$ 1,330.05 on per capita income. The results remain robust to several strategies: Leave-One-Out, Alternative Synthetic Control Method, and the Synthetic Difference-in-Differences method.

Suggested Citation

  • Maurício F. B. Oliveira & Daniel A. P. Uhr & Júlia G. Z. Uhr, 2024. "The Peronist´s constitutional reform: Measuring the 1949 constitutional reform on Argentine economic performance using synthetic control method," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 44(3), pages 781-789.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-23-00286
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Daniel de Abreu Pereira Uhr & Felipe Weizenmann & Julia Gallego Ziero Uhr, 2024. "The impact of the Economic Adjustment Programme for Ireland: a synthetic control approach," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 13(2), pages 82-90.
    2. Alberto Abadie & Javier Gardeazabal, 2003. "The Economic Costs of Conflict: A Case Study of the Basque Country," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(1), pages 113-132, March.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Argentina 1949 Constitutional Reform; Economic Growth; GDP per capita;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity
    • O5 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies

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