IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ebl/ecbull/eb-20-00022.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Brazilian granular business cycle

Author

Listed:
  • Murilo Silva

    (Federal University of Santa Catarina)

  • Sergio Da Silva

    (Federal University of Santa Catarina)

Abstract

We investigate whether the granular hypothesis holds for the Brazilian business cycle and find that idiosyncratic shocks to net revenues of the top 100 companies explain about one-third of GDP fluctuations for annual data. Quarterly data cannot dismiss the granular hypothesis either. However, the granular hypothesis seems to break down after the 2008 financial crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Murilo Silva & Sergio Da Silva, 2020. "The Brazilian granular business cycle," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(1), pages 463-472.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-20-00022
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.accessecon.com/Pubs/EB/2020/Volume40/EB-20-V40-I1-P40.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Xavier Gabaix, 2011. "The Granular Origins of Aggregate Fluctuations," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 79(3), pages 733-772, May.
    2. Blanco-Arroyo, Omar & Ruiz-Buforn, Alba & Vidal-Tomás, David & Alfarano, Simone, 2018. "On the determination of the granular size of the economy," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 35-38.
    3. Fornaro, Paolo & Luomaranta, Henri, 2018. "Aggregate fluctuations and the effect of large corporations: Evidence from Finnish monthly data," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 245-258.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jorge Miranda‐Pinto & Yuanting Shen, 2019. "A Granular View of the Australian Business Cycle," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 95(311), pages 407-424, December.
    2. Maia, Adriano & Oliveira, Guilherme De & Matsushita, Raul & Da Silva, Sergio, 2021. "The granularity of the Brazilian banking market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    3. Leon Esquierro & Sergio Da Silva, 2024. "Is the Brazilian labor market granular?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 44(2), pages 576-585.
    4. Adriano Maia & Guilherme De Oliveira & Raul Matsushita & Sergio Da Silva, 2023. "Granular banks and corporate investment," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 47(3), pages 586-599, September.
    5. Leon Esquierro & Sergio Da Silva, 2024. "Granular Cities," Economies, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-34, July.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Adriano Maia & Guilherme De Oliveira & Raul Matsushita & Sergio Da Silva, 2023. "Granular banks and corporate investment," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 47(3), pages 586-599, September.
    2. Svetlana Popova, 2019. "Idiosyncratic shocks: estimation and the impact on aggregate fluctuations," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps46, Bank of Russia.
    3. Jozef Konings & Galiya Sagyndykova & Venkat Subramanian & Astrid Volckaert, 2021. "The granular economy of Kazakhstan," Working Papers 2021/01, Nazarbayev University, Graduate School of Business.
    4. Jozef Konings & Galiya Sagyndykova & Venkat Subramanian & Astrid Volckaert, 2023. "The granular nature of emerging market economies: The case of Kazakhstan," Economics of Transition and Institutional Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 31(2), pages 429-464, April.
    5. Leon Esquierro & Sergio Da Silva, 2024. "Is the Brazilian labor market granular?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 44(2), pages 576-585.
    6. David Vidal-Tomás & Alba Ruiz-Buforn & Omar Blanco-Arroyo & Simone Alfarano, 2022. "A Cross-Sectional Analysis of Growth and Profit Rate Distribution: The Spanish Case," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-20, March.
    7. Blanco-Arroyo, Omar & Ruiz-Buforn, Alba & Vidal-Tomás, David & Alfarano, Simone, 2019. "Empresas granulares y desagregación regional: un análisis del caso español [Granular firms and regional disaggregation: an analysis of the Spanish case]," MPRA Paper 93913, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Alfarano, Simone & Blanco-Arroyo, Omar, 2022. "Banking Sector Concentration, Credit Supply Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations," MPRA Paper 111972, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Santiago Camara, 2022. "Granular Linkages, Supplier Cost Shocks & Export Performance," Papers 2203.07282, arXiv.org.
    10. Maia, Adriano & Oliveira, Guilherme De & Matsushita, Raul & Da Silva, Sergio, 2021. "The granularity of the Brazilian banking market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    11. Alfarano, Simone & Blanco-Arroyo, Omar, 2022. "Banking sector concentration, credit shocks and aggregate fluctuations," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 218(C).
    12. Elguellab Ali & Ezzahid Elhadj, 2023. "The granularity of the manufacturing sector : insights from a developing economy," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 43(3), pages 1254-1264.
    13. Fornaro, Paolo & Kaihovaara, Antti, 2020. "Microdynamics, granularity and populism: The Finnish case," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    14. Yu, Zhuangxiong & Cheng, Jiajia & Mukhopadhaya, Pundarik & Dong, Jiemiao, 2023. "Do information spillovers across products aggravate product market monopoly? An examination with Chinese data," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    15. Abduraimova, Kumushoy, 2022. "Contagion and tail risk in complex financial networks," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    16. Petra Štamfestová & Lukáš Sobíšek & Jiří Hnilica, 2023. "Firm Size Distribution in the Central European Context," Central European Business Review, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2023(5), pages 151-175.
    17. Molnárová, Zuzana & Reiter, Michael, 2022. "Technology, demand, and productivity: What an industry model tells us about business cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    18. Peydró, José-Luis & Jiménez, Gabriel & Kenan, Huremovic & Moral-Benito, Enrique & Vega-Redondo, Fernando, 2020. "Production and financial networks in interplay: Crisis evidence from supplier-customer and credit registers," CEPR Discussion Papers 15277, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    19. Andrew B. Bernard & J. Bradford Jensen & Stephen J. Redding & Peter K. Schott, 2018. "Global Firms," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 56(2), pages 565-619, June.
    20. Torsten Heinrich & Jangho Yang & Shuanping Dai, 2020. "Growth, development, and structural change at the firm-level: The example of the PR China," Papers 2012.14503, arXiv.org.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Business cycle theory; Idiosyncratic micro-level shocks; Granularity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
    • D2 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-20-00022. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: John P. Conley (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.