IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ebl/ecbull/eb-14-00596.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on Exports: Evidence from India

Author

Listed:
  • Sidheswar Panda

    (Institute of Economic Growth)

  • Ranjan Kumar Mohanty

    (Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi)

Abstract

This study empirically examines the effects of real exchange rate volatility on India's exports using time series data for the period from 1970-71 to 2011-12. This study uses a simple rolling standard deviation as a measure of exchange rate volatility and implements the Johansen cointegration technique to understand the long run relationship among the variables. This study finds that there exists one co-integrating the relationship among exports, real exchange rate volatility and World GDP. India's export volume is positively related to the World GDP. India's export volume is negatively affected by its own real exchange rate volatility. The empirical results indicate that a moderation in the exchange rate volatility can increase the export volume in case of India.

Suggested Citation

  • Sidheswar Panda & Ranjan Kumar Mohanty, 2015. "Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on Exports: Evidence from India," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 35(1), pages 305-312.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-14-00596
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.accessecon.com/Pubs/EB/2015/Volume35/EB-15-V35-I1-P35.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Arize, Augustine C & Osang, Thomas & Slottje, Daniel J, 2000. "Exchange-Rate Volatility and Foreign Trade: Evidence from Thirteen LDC's," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 18(1), pages 10-17, January.
    2. Paul De Grauwe, 1988. "Exchange Rate Variability and the Slowdown in Growth of International Trade," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 35(1), pages 63-84, March.
    3. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
    4. Wang, Kai-Li & Barrett, Christopher B., 2007. "Estimating the Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on Export Volumes," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 32(2), pages 1-31, August.
    5. Udo Broll & Bernhard Eckwert, 1999. "Exchange Rate Volatility and International Trade," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 66(1), pages 178-185, July.
    6. Johansen, Soren, 1991. "Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(6), pages 1551-1580, November.
    7. Myint Moe Chit & Marian Rizov & Dirk Willenbockel, 2010. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Exports: New Empirical Evidence from the Emerging East Asian Economies," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(2), pages 239-263, February.
    8. Hooper, Peter & Kohlhagen, Steven W., 1978. "The effect of exchange rate uncertainty on the prices and volume of international trade," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 483-511, November.
    9. Aristotelous, Kyriacos, 2001. "Exchange-rate volatility, exchange-rate regime, and trade volume: evidence from the UK-US export function (1889-1999)," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 72(1), pages 87-94, July.
    10. Asseery, A. & Peel, D. A., 1991. "The effects of exchange rate volatility on exports : Some new estimates," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 173-177, October.
    11. repec:bla:obuest:v:61:y:1999:i:0:p:607-29 is not listed on IDEAS
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Andrew Phiri, 2018. "Nonlinear Relationship between Exchange Rate Volatility and Economic Growth," Journal of Economics and Econometrics, Economics and Econometrics Society, vol. 61(3), pages 15-38.
    2. Muhammad Shahid Hassan & Amna Kausar & Noman Arshed, 2022. "Investigating Export Determinants: A Time Series Evidence From Canada," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(2), pages 21582440221, June.
    3. Saghir Pervaiz GHAURI & Hina QADIR & Rizwan Raheem AHMED & Dalia STREIMIKIENE & Justas STREIMIKIS, 2022. "The Exports Performance of Pakistan: Evidence from the ARDL Cointegration Analysis," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 150-168, December.
    4. Upadhyaya, Kamal & Bhandari, Rabindra & Mixon, Franklin G. JR., 2020. "Exchange Rate Volatility and its Impact on China's Trade with the United States," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 73(3), pages 373-388.
    5. Abban, Stanley, 2020. "The Prospect of the Proposed Currency Union on Intra-regional Trade: Southern African Customs Union," MPRA Paper 103123, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Pami Dua & Ritu Suri, 2023. "India’s Bilateral Export Growth and Exchange Rate Volatility: A Panel GMM Approach," Springer Books, in: Pami Dua (ed.), Macroeconometric Methods, chapter 0, pages 123-148, Springer.
    7. Fourie, Justin & Pretorius, Theuns & Harvey, Rhett & Henrico, Van Niekerk & Phiri, Andrew, 2016. "Nonlinear relationship between exchange rate volatility and economic growth: A South African perspective," MPRA Paper 74671, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Sanjay Kumar Rout & Hrushikesh Mallick, 2020. "Transmission of International Financial Shocks: A Cross Country Analysis," Asian Development Policy Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 8(4), pages 236-259, December.
    9. * Jyoti & K. N. Bhatt, 2024. "Effect of Exchange Rate Volatility on Exports: An Empirical Analysis of Disaggregated Data of the Indian Manufacturing Sector," Arthaniti: Journal of Economic Theory and Practice, , vol. 23(2), pages 244-268, December.
    10. Kamal P. Upadhyaya & Dharmendra Dhakal & Franklin G. Mixon, Jr., 2020. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Exports: Some New Estimates From the Asean-5," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 54(1), pages 65-73, January-M.
    11. Jyoti, 2021. "Impact of Exchange Rate Fluctuations on India’s Manufacturing Exports: An Empirical Investigation on Long-Run Relation," Journal of Asian Economic Integration, , vol. 3(1), pages 61-73, April.
    12. Niloufer Sohrabji, 2024. "Asymmetric Exchange Rate Effects on Trade Flows in India," Economies, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-13, May.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chandan Sharma, 2019. "Exchange rate volatility and exports from India: a commodity-level panel data analysis," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 12(1), pages 23-44, June.
    2. Flavio Vilela Vieira & Cleomar Gomes Da Silva, 2018. "Brics Export Performance: An Ardl Bounds Testing Empirical Investigation," Anais do XLIV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 44th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 101, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    3. Nishimura, Yusaku & Hirayama, Kenjiro, 2013. "Does exchange rate volatility deter Japan-China trade? Evidence from pre- and post-exchange rate reform in China," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 25, pages 90-101.
    4. Yusaku Nishimura & Bianxia Sun, 2018. "China’s Exchange-Rate Regime Reform and Trade Between China and the Eurozone," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(2), pages 450-467, January.
    5. Cueyt SEVIM & Taylan Taner DOGAN, 2016. "Turkiye Ekonomisinde Ihracat ve Doviz Kuru Oynakligi Iliskisi," Ege Academic Review, Ege University Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 16(2), pages 303-318.
    6. Muteba Mwamba, John & Dube, Sandile, 2014. "The impact of exchange rate volatility on international trade between South Africa, China and USA: The case of the manufacturing sector," MPRA Paper 64389, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Bajo-Rubio, Oscar & Berke, Burcu & McMillan, David G., 2020. "Exchange rate volatility in the eurozone," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 14, pages 1-23.
    8. Auboin, Marc & Ruta, Michele, 2013. "The relationship between exchange rates and international trade: a literature review," World Trade Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(3), pages 577-605, July.
    9. Gabriela Mordecki & Ronald Miranda, 2019. "Real Exchange Rate Volatility and Exports: A Study for Four Selected Commodity Exporting Countries," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 66(4), pages 411-437.
    10. Auboin, Marc & Ruta, Michel, 2011. "The relationship between exchange rates and International Trade: A review of economic literature," WTO Staff Working Papers ERSD-2011-17, World Trade Organization (WTO), Economic Research and Statistics Division.
    11. Flavio Vilela Vieira & Cleomar Gomes da Silva, 2021. "What drives export performance in the BRICS countries? An ARDL investigation," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 41(2), pages 686-695.
    12. Erdal Demirhan & Banu Demirhan, 2015. "The Dynamic Effect of ExchangeRate Volatility on Turkish Exports: Parsimonious Error-Correction Model Approach," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 62(4), pages 429-451, September.
    13. Arief Bustaman & Kankesu Jayanthakumaran, 2006. "The Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility on Indonesia’s Exports to the USA: An Application of ARDL Bounds Testing Procedure," Working Papers in Economics and Development Studies (WoPEDS) 200610, Department of Economics, Padjadjaran University, revised Dec 2006.
    14. James Temitope Dada, 2020. "Asymmetric effect of exchange rate volatility on trade in sub-Saharan African countries," Journal of Economic and Administrative Sciences, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 37(2), pages 149-162, July.
    15. Chien-Chung Nieh & Jeng-Bau Lin & Yu-shan Wang, 2008. "Exchange rate uncertainty and corporate values: evidence from Taiwan," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(14), pages 1181-1192.
    16. Koi Nyen Wong & Tuck Cheong Tang, 2009. "Exchange rate variability and the export demand for Malaysia's semiconductors: an empirical study," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(6), pages 695-706.
    17. P., Srinivasan & M., Kalaivani, 2012. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Export Growth in India: An Empirical Investigation," MPRA Paper 43828, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Fang, WenShwo & Lai, YiHao & Miller, Stephen M., 2009. "Does exchange rate risk affect exports asymmetrically? Asian evidence," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 215-239, March.
    19. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Huseyin Karamelikli, 2022. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Commodity Trade between U.K. and China: An Asymmetric Analysis," Chinese Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(1), pages 41-65, January.
    20. Asteriou, Dimitrios & Masatci, Kaan & Pılbeam, Keith, 2016. "Exchange rate volatility and international trade: International evidence from the MINT countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 133-140.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange rate volatility; Exports; India;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-14-00596. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: John P. Conley (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.