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Semi-endogenous growth when population is decreasing

Author

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  • Thomas Christiaans

    (FOM University of Applied Sciences)

Abstract

The paper analyzes the effect of a negative population growth rate on per capita income growth using a simple model of semi-endogenous growth. It is shown that there is a non-monotonous relationship between population growth rates and long-run per capita income growth rates. Compared to the case of positive population growth the dynamics are richer and depend on the rate of depreciation. Semi-endogenous growth becomes partly endogenous.

Suggested Citation

  • Thomas Christiaans, 2011. "Semi-endogenous growth when population is decreasing," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(3), pages 2667-2673.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-11-00182
    as

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    File URL: http://www.accessecon.com/Pubs/EB/2011/Volume31/EB-11-V31-I3-P239.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Hiroaki Sasaki, 2013. "Positive and Negative Population Growth and Long-Run Trade Patterns: A Non-Scale Growth Model," Discussion papers e-13-004, Graduate School of Economics Project Center, Kyoto University.
    2. Ichiroh Daitoh, 2020. "Rates of Population Decline in Solow and Semi-Endogenous Growth Models: Empirical Relevance and the Role of Child Rearing Cost," Keio-IES Discussion Paper Series 2020-004, Institute for Economics Studies, Keio University.
    3. Alberto Bucci & Lorenzo Carbonari & Giovanni Trovato & Pedro Trivin, 2024. "Human Capital-based Growth with Depopulation and Class-size Effects: Theory and Empirics," Working Paper series 24-05, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    4. Hiroaki Sasaki, 2019. "The Solow growth model with a CES production function and declining population," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(3), pages 1979-1988.
    5. Thomas Christiaans, 2017. "On the implications of declining population growth for regional migration," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 122(2), pages 155-171, October.
    6. Sasaki, Hiroaki, 2015. "International Trade And Industrialization With Negative Population Growth," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(8), pages 1647-1658, December.
    7. Sasaki, Hiroaki & Fukatani, Noriki & Imai, Daisuke & Kamanaka, Yusuke, 2022. "Sustainable Economic Growth in an Economy with Exhaustible Resources and a Declining Population under the Balance-of-Payments Constraint," MPRA Paper 113559, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Sasaki, Hiroaki & Mino, Kazuo, 2024. "Effects of exhaustible resources and declining population on economic growth with Hotelling’s rule," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    9. Mino, Kazuo & Sasaki, Hiroaki, 2023. "Long-run consequences of population decline in an economy with exhaustible resources," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    10. Luca Guerrini, 2012. "Constant population growth rate and time to build: the Solow model case," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(4), pages 3260-3265.
    11. Charles I. Jones, 2022. "The End of Economic Growth? Unintended Consequences of a Declining Population," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 112(11), pages 3489-3527, November.
    12. Sasaki, Hiroaki, 2019. "Non-Renewable Resources and the Possibility of Sustainable Economic Development in a Positive or Negative Population Growth Economy," MPRA Paper 92204, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Bucci, Alberto, 2023. "Can a negative population growth rate sustain a positive economic growth rate in the long run?," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 17-28.
    14. Hellwagner, Timon & Weber, Enzo, 2021. "Labour Market Adjustments to Population Decline," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics 242455, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    15. Sasaki, Hiroaki & Hoshida, Keisuke, 2014. "Semi-Endogenous R&D Growth Model with Negative Population Growth," MPRA Paper 53833, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Sasaki, Hiroaki, 2017. "A Note on the Solow Growth Model with a CES Production Function and Declining Population," MPRA Paper 80062, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Sasaki, Hiroaki & Hori, Taichi & Hasegawa, Rokuhisa & Tajiri, Shigehiro & Nakamura, Kaito, 2023. "Mankiw-Romer-Weil Model with Declining Population: A Note," MPRA Paper 119457, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Sasaki, Hiroaki, 2023. "Growth with automation capital and declining population," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    19. Ichiroh DAITOH & Hiroaki SASAKI, 2023. "At the Right Time:Ramsey-Cass-Koopmans Model with Declining Population," Discussion papers e-23-002, Graduate School of Economics , Kyoto University.
    20. Kazuo Mino & Hiroaki Sasaki, 2021. "Long-Run Consequences of Population Decline in an Economy with Exhaustible Natural Resources," KIER Working Papers 1062, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
    21. Bo-Xiang Hsu & Yi-Min Chen, 2021. "Why university matters: the impact of university resources on foreign workers’ human and social capital accumulation," International Entrepreneurship and Management Journal, Springer, vol. 17(1), pages 45-61, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    negative population growth; semi-endogenous growth;

    JEL classification:

    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity

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