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International trade and industrialization in a non-scale model of economic growth

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  • Christiaans, Thomas

Abstract

The relationship between international trade, growth, and industrialization is analyzed in a two-sector non-scale growth model. The counterfactual prediction of new growth theories regarding a positive effect of population growth on per capita income growth is shown to be alleviated by allowing for international trade. While the growth-trade linkage is positive in most cases, it is negative if the rate of population growth is relatively large and the initial capital stock is relatively small. As the timing of the switch from autarky to free trade affects the process of industrialization, trade policy can influence structural change and long-run growth rates even in non-scale growth models.

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  • Christiaans, Thomas, 2008. "International trade and industrialization in a non-scale model of economic growth," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 221-236, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:streco:v:19:y:2008:i:3:p:221-236
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    Cited by:

    1. Hiroaki Sasaki, 2013. "Positive and Negative Population Growth and Long-Run Trade Patterns: A Non-Scale Growth Model," Discussion papers e-13-004, Graduate School of Economics Project Center, Kyoto University.
    2. Ichiroh Daitoh, 2020. "Rates of Population Decline in Solow and Semi-Endogenous Growth Models: Empirical Relevance and the Role of Child Rearing Cost," Keio-IES Discussion Paper Series 2020-004, Institute for Economics Studies, Keio University.
    3. Sasaki, Hiroaki, 2015. "International Trade And Industrialization With Negative Population Growth," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(8), pages 1647-1658, December.
    4. Hiroaki Sasaki, 2011. "Trade, Non‐Scale Growth And Uneven Development," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 62(4), pages 691-711, November.
    5. Thomas Christiaans, 2017. "On the implications of declining population growth for regional migration," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 122(2), pages 155-171, October.
    6. Liu, Nairong & An, Haizhong & Hao, Xiaoqing & Feng, Sida, 2017. "The stability of the international heat pump trade pattern based on complex networks analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C), pages 100-117.
    7. Hiroaki Sasaki, 2008. "North-South Asymmetry in Returns to Scale, Uneven Development, and the Population Puzzle," TERG Discussion Papers 238, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Tohoku University.
    8. Thomas Christiaans, 2011. "Semi-endogenous growth when population is decreasing," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(3), pages 2667-2673.
    9. Hiroaki Sasaki, 2012. "Trade Patterns and Non-Scale Growth between Two Countries," Discussion papers e-12-006, Graduate School of Economics Project Center, Kyoto University.
    10. Sasaki, Hiroaki, 2017. "Population growth and trade patterns in semi-endogenous growth economies," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 1-12.

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