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Closeness and Turnout: Evidence from Election of Taiwan

Author

Listed:
  • Mei-yin Lin

    (Department of Economics, Shih Hsin University)

  • Yi-ting Tseng

    (Department of Public Finance, National Chengchi University)

  • Jue-shyan Wang

    (Department of Public Finance, National Chengchi University)

Abstract

This paper will take Taiwan as an example to investigate the closeness-turnout relation. Instead of using actual electoral data, we utilize the information provided by pre-election polls to construct the measure for electoral closeness. The empirical result of Taiwan shows when the race is perceived to be decisive, the voters are more likely to vote. Moreover, the smaller the economic growth rate difference between China and Taiwan is, the voter's motive for voting will be stronger.

Suggested Citation

  • Mei-yin Lin & Yi-ting Tseng & Jue-shyan Wang, 2011. "Closeness and Turnout: Evidence from Election of Taiwan," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(2), pages 1922-1928.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-11-00143
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Darren Grant & Michael Toma, 2008. "Elemental tests of the traditional rational voting model," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 137(1), pages 173-195, October.
    2. Matsusaka, John G & Palda, Filip, 1993. "The Downsian Voter Meets the Ecological Fallacy," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 77(4), pages 855-878, December.
    3. Mitch Kunce, 2001. "Pre-Election Polling and the Rational Voter: Evidence from State Panel Data (1986–1998)," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 107(1), pages 21-34, April.
    4. Kunce, Mitch, 2001. "Pre-election Polling and the Rational Voter: Evidence from State Panel Data (1986-1998)," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 107(1-2), pages 21-34, April.
    5. Anthony Downs, 1957. "An Economic Theory of Political Action in a Democracy," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 65(2), pages 135-135.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Electoral closeness; Turnout; Election;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D7 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making
    • C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling

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