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The Inflation and Economic Growth: Evidence from Romania

Author

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  • Mircea Asandului

    (Alexandru Ioan Cuza University of Iasi)

  • Dan Lupu

    (Alexandru Ioan Cuza University of Iasi)

Abstract

The main purpose of this study is to establish the existence (or not) of a relationship between inflation and economic growth in Romania, the study lasting from 1970 to 2013. The methodology used in this study is the one specific to time series: structural break test using Zivot- Andrews test, the stationarity test using Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF), and then Granger causality testing. Test results showed that for the analyzed period, there was a cointegrating relationship between inflation and economic growth for Romania. Finally, to establish the econometric model of the two variables, it has been developed an ARDL model with two different periods of lag.

Suggested Citation

  • Mircea Asandului & Dan Lupu, 2015. "The Inflation and Economic Growth: Evidence from Romania," Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 11(3), pages 35-42, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:dug:actaec:y:2015:i:3:p:35-42
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    File URL: http://journals.univ-danubius.ro/index.php/oeconomica/article/view/2810/2429
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    3. Zivot, Eric & Andrews, Donald W K, 2002. "Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil-Price Shock, and the Unit-Root Hypothesis," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(1), pages 25-44, January.
    4. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    5. By Mohsin S. Khan & Abdelhak S. Senhadji, 2001. "Threshold Effects in the Relationship Between Inflation and Growth," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 48(1), pages 1-1.
    6. Mr. Michael Sarel, 1995. "Nonlinear Effects of Inflationon Economic Growth," IMF Working Papers 1995/056, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Bruno, Michael & Easterly, William, 1998. "Inflation crises and long-run growth," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(1), pages 3-26, February.
    8. Dan LUPU, 2014. "Fiscal austerity and economic growth in CEE countries," EuroEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 2(33), pages 89-96, November.
    9. Stephanie Kremer & Alexander Bick & Dieter Nautz, 2013. "Inflation and growth: new evidence from a dynamic panel threshold analysis," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 44(2), pages 861-878, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Rasha Istaiteyeh & Farah Najem, 2023. "GDP and Inflation: New Story from a Developing World: Case of Jordan," Advances in Management and Applied Economics, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 13(6), pages 1-2.

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