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Socioeconomic status and fertility before, during, and after the demographic transition: An introduction

Author

Listed:
  • Martin Dribe

    (Lunds Universitet)

  • Michel Oris

    (Université de Genève)

  • Lucia Pozzi

    (Università degli Studi di Sassari (UniSS))

Abstract

Background: Despite a long interest in the historical fertility transition, there is still a lack of knowledge about disaggregated patterns that could help us understand the mechanisms behind the transition. In previous research the widely held view is that there was a change in the association between social status and fertility in conjunction with the fertility transition, implying that fertility went from being positively connected to social status (higher status was connected with higher fertility) to being negatively associated with fertility. Objective: The aim of this collection is to study socioeconomic patterns in the fertility transition in a variety of contexts using similar approaches and measures of socioeconomic status. Methods: All contributions use different kinds of micro-level socioeconomic and demographic data and statistical models in the analysis. Data either come from census-like records or population registers. Conclusions: There is no consistent evidence for the hypothesis that socioeconomic status was positively related to fertility before the demographic transition. While such a correlation was clearly present in some contexts it was clearly not in other contexts. There is more unanimous support for the idea that the upper-and middle classes acted as forerunners in the transition, while especially farmers were late to change their fertility behavior. It is also evident that both parity-specific stopping and prolonged birth intervals (spacing) were important in the fertility transition.

Suggested Citation

  • Martin Dribe & Michel Oris & Lucia Pozzi, 2014. "Socioeconomic status and fertility before, during, and after the demographic transition: An introduction," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 31(7), pages 161-182.
  • Handle: RePEc:dem:demres:v:31:y:2014:i:7
    DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2014.31.7
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    1. Maarten J. Bijlsma & Ben Wilson, 2017. "Modelling the socio-economic determinants of fertility: a mediation analysis using the parametric g-formula," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2017-013, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    2. Maria Sironi, 2019. "Fertility histories and chronic conditions later in life in Europe," European Journal of Ageing, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 259-272, September.
    3. Francisco J. Marco-Gracia & Margarita López-Antón, 2021. "Rethinking the Fertility Transition in Rural Aragón (Spain) Using Height Data," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(16), pages 1-28, August.
    4. Siegfried Gruber & Rembrandt D. Scholz, 2016. "Fertility in Rostock in the 19th Century," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2016-001, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    5. J. David Hacker & Michael R. Haines & Matthew Jaremski, 2021. "Early Fertility Decline in the United States: Tests of Alternative Hypotheses Using New Complete-Count Census Microdata and Enhanced County-Level Data," Research in Economic History, in: Research in Economic History, volume 37, pages 89-128, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    6. Berger, Thor & Engzell, Per & Eriksson, Björn & Molinder, Jakob, 2023. "Social Mobility in Sweden before the Welfare State," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 83(2), pages 431-463, June.
    7. Luca Badolato & Francesco C. Billari & Aart C. Liefbroer, 2024. "Stratified Fertility: Age Norms, Ideals, Behaviors, and the Role of National Contexts," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 40(1), pages 1-26, December.
    8. J. David Hacker, 2016. "Ready, Willing, and Able? Impediments to the Onset of Marital Fertility Decline in the United States," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 53(6), pages 1657-1692, December.
    9. Aso, Hiroki, 2020. "Differential Fertility, Intergenerational Mobility and the Process of Economic Development," MPRA Paper 106148, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Chelli PLUMMER, 2023. "The Causal Relationship between Measures of Career Salience and the Probability of Having Children: Comparing Commissioned Officers and Enlisted Personnel in the United States Military," RAIS Journal for Social Sciences, Research Association for Interdisciplinary Studies, vol. 7(2), pages 88-103, November.
    11. Maarten J. Bijlsma & Ben Wilson, 2020. "Modelling the socio‐economic determinants of fertility: a mediation analysis using the parametric g‐formula," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 183(2), pages 493-513, February.
    12. Patrick Präg & Seongsoo Choi & Christiaan Monden, 2020. "The sibsize revolution in an international context: Declining social disparities in the number of siblings in 26 countries," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 43(17), pages 461-500.
    13. Tony Fahey, 2017. "The Sibsize Revolution and Social Disparities in Children’s Family Contexts in the United States, 1940–2012," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 54(3), pages 813-834, June.
    14. Hanzhi Hu, 2023. "The Consequences of Fertility Decline on Educational Attainment in China," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 42(6), pages 1-30, December.
    15. repec:pra:mprapa:106108 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. Martin Kolk & Kieron J. Barclay, 2017. "Cognitive ability and fertility amongst Swedish men: evidence from 18 cohorts of military conscription," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2017-020, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    17. Bijlsma, Maarten J. & Wilson, Ben, 2020. "Modelling the socio-economic determinants of fertility: a mediation analysis using the parametric g-formula," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 102414, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    18. Rosella Rettaroli & Alessandra Samoggia & Francesco Scalone, 2017. "Does socioeconomic status matter? The fertility transition in a northern Italian village (marriage cohorts 1900‒1940)," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 37(15), pages 455-492.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    fertility transition; social class; innovation diffusion; adjustment;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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