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The future of evolutionary economics: can we break out of the beachhead?

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  • WINTER, SIDNEY G.

Abstract

This essay contemplates the possible futures of evolutionary economics in terms of two contrasting images. In the first, the primary research emphasis of the future will continue to be on the topics that have interested evolutionary economists in the past, such as technological change, business behavior, and the role of institutions. Research contributions in these focal areas and in some related areas are briefly characterized. In the second image, there is a breakout from this ‘beachhead’ and a broader conflict with the reigning paradigm, neoclassical economics. Thomas Kuhn's theory of scientific revolutions provides a framework and stimulus for thinking about the latter case, and the 20th century paradigm conflict in physics provides a baseline for thinking about it. The core strengths of evolutionary economics in the paradigm conflict are noted, and the evolutionary role of intentionality is examined No definitive prediction about the future is offered.

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  • Winter, Sidney G., 2014. "The future of evolutionary economics: can we break out of the beachhead?," Journal of Institutional Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 10(4), pages 613-644, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jinsec:v:10:y:2014:i:04:p:613-644_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Foster, John, 2021. "In search of a suitable heuristic for evolutionary economics: from generalized Darwinism to economic self-organisation," MPRA Paper 106146, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Elvio Accinelli & Armando García & Edgar J. Sánchez Carrera & Jorge Zazueta, 2023. "On the Strategic Complementarity of Skilled Workers and Technological Innovation: Which Determines Which?," Studies in Microeconomics, , vol. 11(2), pages 206-234, August.
    3. Michael Peneder, 2017. "Competitiveness and industrial policy: from rationalities of failure towards the ability to evolve," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 41(3), pages 829-858.
    4. Abigail Devereaux & Roger Koppl & Stuart Kauffman, 2024. "Creative evolution in economics," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 34(2), pages 489-514, April.
    5. Eric Kemp-Benedict, 2022. "A classical-evolutionary model of technological change," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 32(4), pages 1303-1343, September.
    6. Terence C. Burnham, 2016. "Economics and evolutionary mismatch: humans in novel settings do not maximize," Journal of Bioeconomics, Springer, vol. 18(3), pages 195-209, October.
    7. Charis Vlados & Dimos Chatzinikolaou, 2019. "Towards a Restructuration of the Conventional SWOT Analysis," Business and Management Studies, Redfame publishing, vol. 5(2), pages 76-84, June.
    8. Tae-Hee Jo, 2021. "A Veblenian Critique of Nelson and Winter’s Evolutionary Theory," Journal of Economic Issues, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(4), pages 1101-1117, October.
    9. Angela Ambrosino & Magda Fontana & Anna Azzurra Gigante, 2018. "Shifting Boundaries In Economics: The Institutional Cognitive Strand And The Future Of Institutional Economics," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(3), pages 767-791, July.
    10. Rinaldo Evangelista, 2015. "Technology, development and economic crisis: the Schumpeterian legacy," Working Papers 23, Birkbeck Centre for Innovation Management Research, revised Jun 2015.
    11. Olivier Brette & Nathalie Lazaric & Victor Vieira da Silva, 2017. "Habit, decision making, and rationality : comparing Veblen and early Herbert Simon," Post-Print halshs-01310305, HAL.
    12. Verónica Robert & Gabriel Yoguel & Octavio Lerena, 2017. "The ontology of complexity and the neo-Schumpeterian evolutionary theory of economic change," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 27(4), pages 761-793, September.
    13. Ulrich Witt, 2013. "The Future of Evolutionary Economics: Why Modalities Matter," Papers on Economics and Evolution 2013-09, Philipps University Marburg, Department of Geography.
    14. Richard R. Nelson, 2016. "Behavior and cognition of economic actors in evolutionary economics," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 26(4), pages 737-751, October.
    15. Rinaldo Evangelista, 2018. "Technology and Economic Development: The Schumpeterian Legacy," Review of Radical Political Economics, Union for Radical Political Economics, vol. 50(1), pages 136-153, March.
    16. Raed Kareem Kanaan & Ulya Nawaf Obeidat & Bader Yousef Obeidat & Mohammad Orsan Al-Zu'bi & Mohammd Abuhashesh, 2020. "The Effect of Intellectual Capital on Competitive Advantage in the Jordanian Telecommunication Sector," Journal of Business & Management (COES&RJ-JBM), , vol. 8(1), pages 1-19, January.
    17. David Dequech, 2016. "Some Institutions (Social Norms And Conventions) Of Contemporary Mainstream Economics, Macroeconomics, And Financial Economics," Anais do XLIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 43rd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 006, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    18. Geoffrey M. Hodgson & Juha-Antti Lamberg, 2018. "The past and future of evolutionary economics: some reflections based on new bibliometric evidence," Evolutionary and Institutional Economics Review, Springer, vol. 15(1), pages 167-187, June.
    19. Sidney G. Winter, 2016. "The place of entrepreneurship in “The Economics that Might Have Been”," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 47(1), pages 15-34, June.
    20. Martin Ron & Sunley Peter, 2022. "Making history matter more in evolutionary economic geography," ZFW – Advances in Economic Geography, De Gruyter, vol. 66(2), pages 65-80, July.
    21. Christian Cordes, 2019. "The promises of a naturalistic approach: how cultural evolution theory can inform (evolutionary) economics," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 29(4), pages 1241-1262, September.
    22. Michael Peneder, 2023. "Evolutionary Economic Policy and Competitiveness," WIFO Working Papers 662, WIFO.
    23. Alessandro Morselli, 2024. "Paolo Sylos-Labini’s Contribution to and Affinities for Institutional Economic Thought," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 2, pages 222-240.

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