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Markov Intertemporal Land Use Simulation Model

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  • Burnham, Bruce O.

Abstract

The simulation model discussed in this paper evolved from problems encountered in estimating future United States cropland availability as part of the OBERS agricultural projection system. Available literature describing land use changes indicate that land resource economists have not been concerned with projecting future patterns of land use implied by historic observations.Some research has involved selection of optimum cropping patterns for agricultural cropland subject to alternative flood plain management policies. However, the broader application of such models between sectors (agriculture, industrial, urban, etc.), in the main, has been ignored. Because of “historical bias” there has not been a concerted effort to develop analytical capabilities for use in evaluating the future implications of alternative regional and/or national policies designed to alter trends in land use shifts.

Suggested Citation

  • Burnham, Bruce O., 1973. "Markov Intertemporal Land Use Simulation Model," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 5(1), pages 253-258, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jagaec:v:5:y:1973:i:01:p:253-258_01
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    Cited by:

    1. Rahel Hamad & Heiko Balzter & Kamal Kolo, 2018. "Predicting Land Use/Land Cover Changes Using a CA-Markov Model under Two Different Scenarios," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-23, September.
    2. Fernandes, Milton Marques & Fernandes, Márcia Rodrigues de Moura & Garcia, Junior Ruiz & Matricardi, Eraldo Aparecido Trondoli & de Almeida, André Quintão & Pinto, Alexandre Siqueira & Menezes, Rômulo, 2020. "Assessment of land use and land cover changes and valuation of carbon stocks in the Sergipe semiarid region, Brazil: 1992–2030," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    3. Robert Walker, 2004. "Theorizing Land-Cover and Land-Use Change: The Case of Tropical Deforestation," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 27(3), pages 247-270, July.
    4. Maples, Chellie H. & Hagerman, Amy D. & Lambert, Dayton M., 2022. "Ex-ante effects of the 2018 Agricultural Improvement Act’s grassland initiative," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    5. Lindsay, Bruce E. & Dunn, Daniel L., 1979. "Land Use Projections Under Alternative Policies: A Transition Matrix Approach," Journal of the Northeastern Agricultural Economics Council, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 8(2), pages 1-14, October.
    6. Barbosa, Carolina Cerqueira & Calijuri, Maria do Carmo & Anjinho, Phelipe da Silva & dos Santos, André Cordeiro Alves, 2023. "An integrated modeling approach to predict trophic state changes in a large Brazilian reservoir," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 476(C).
    7. Vandeveer, Lonnie R. & Drummond, H. Evan, 1976. "Estimating The Differential Change In Land Use Associated With Reservoir Construction," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 8(1), pages 1-6, July.
    8. Faisal Mumtaz & Yu Tao & Waqar Ahmed Bashir & Mariam Kareem & Wang Gengke & Lingling Li & Barjeece Bashir, 2020. "Transition Of Lulc And Future Predictions By Using Ca-Markov Chain Model (A Case Study Of Metropolitan City Lahore, Pakistan)," Earth Sciences Malaysia (ESMY), Zibeline International Publishing, vol. 4(2), pages 146-151, October.
    9. Lindsay, Bruce E. & Dunn, Daniel L., 1979. "Land Use Projections Under Alternative Policies: A Transition Matrix Approach," Northeastern Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 0(Number 2), pages 1-14, October.
    10. Chih-Da Wu & Chi-Chuan Cheng & Hann-Chung Lo & Yeong-Keung Chen, 2010. "Application of SEBAL and Markov Models for Future Stream Flow Simulation Through Remote Sensing," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(14), pages 3773-3797, November.
    11. Lee, John G. & Lacewell, Ronald D. & Ozuna, Teofilo, Jr. & Jones, Lonnie L., 1987. "Regional Impact Of Urban Water Use On Irrigated Agriculture," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 19(2), pages 1-9, December.

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