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Poverty, rural population distribution and climate change

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  • Barbier, Edward B.
  • Hochard, Jacob P.

Abstract

Our spatial analysis indicates that in 2000 over one third of the rural population in developing countries was located on less favored agricultural land and areas, which are constrained by biophysical conditions or poor market access. We examine whether these spatial distributions of rural population in 2000 influence subsequent changes in the rate of poverty from 2000 to 2012 in 83 developing countries. We find no evidence of a direct impact on changes in poverty, but there is a significant indirect impact via the elasticity of poverty reduction with respect to growth. If climate change leads to more people concentrated in these areas, or an increase in unfavorable agricultural regions, then the poverty-reducing impact of overall per capita income growth could be further weakened. Reducing poverty will require targeting rural populations in less favored lands and remote areas and encouraging out-migration.

Suggested Citation

  • Barbier, Edward B. & Hochard, Jacob P., 2018. "Poverty, rural population distribution and climate change," Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(3), pages 234-256, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:endeec:v:23:y:2018:i:03:p:234-256_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Muhammad Faisal Shahzad & Awudu Abdulai & Gazali Issahaku, 2021. "Adaptation Implications of Climate-Smart Agriculture in Rural Pakistan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-18, October.
    2. Caviglia-Harris, Jill & Biggs, Trent & Ferreira, Elvino & Harris, Daniel W. & Mullan, Katrina & Sills, Erin O., 2021. "The color of water: The contributions of green and blue water to agricultural productivity in the Western Brazilian Amazon," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    3. Paglialunga, Elena & Coveri, Andrea & Zanfei, Antonello, 2022. "Climate change and within-country inequality: New evidence from a global perspective," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    4. Arkadiusz Piwowar & Maciej Dzikuc, 2020. "Poverty and Social Exclusion: Is this a Problem in Rural Areas in the Visegrad Group Countries?," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(2), pages 45-54.
    5. Alessia Amato, 2022. "The Circular Economy Challenge: Towards a Sustainable Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-4, March.
    6. Hare Krisna Kundo & Martin Brueckner & Rochelle Spencer & John Davis, 2021. "Mainstreaming climate adaptation into social protection: The issues yet to be addressed," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(6), pages 953-974, August.
    7. Xuelan Li & Jiyu Jiang & Javier Cifuentes-Faura, 2023. "Coordinated Development and Sustainability of the Agriculture, Climate and Society System in China: Based on the PLE Analysis Framework," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-19, March.
    8. Tsion Berie & Sean A. Kidd & Gregor Wolbring, 2024. "Poverty (Number 1 Goal of the SDG) of Disabled People through Disability Studies and Ability Studies Lenses: A Scoping Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(13), pages 1-52, July.
    9. Hamad Dilawar & Muhammad Zahir Faridi, 2022. "Population and Poverty Alleviation in Pakistan: An Aggregated and Disaggregated Analysis," Journal of Policy Research (JPR), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 8(3), pages 151-165, September.
    10. Christos Karydas & Evangelos V. Dioikitopoulos, 2020. "Sustainability traps: patience and innovation," CER-ETH Economics working paper series 20/330, CER-ETH - Center of Economic Research (CER-ETH) at ETH Zurich.
    11. Bolier Torres & Jhenny Cayambe & Susana Paz & Kelly Ayerve & Marco Heredia-R & Emma Torres & Marcelo Luna & Theofilos Toulkeridis & Antón García, 2022. "Livelihood Capitals, Income Inequality, and the Perception of Climate Change: A Case Study of Small-Scale Cattle Farmers in the Ecuadorian Andes," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-20, April.
    12. Liguo Zhang & Xi Lin & Langping Leng & Yongming Zeng, 2021. "Spatial distribution of rural population from a climate perspective: Evidence from Jiangxi Province in China," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(3), pages 1-14, March.
    13. Elena Paglialunga & Andrea Coveri & Antonello Zanfei, 2020. "Climate change and inequality in a global context. Exploring climate induced disparities and the reaction of economic systems," Working Papers 2003, University of Urbino Carlo Bo, Department of Economics, Society & Politics - Scientific Committee - L. Stefanini & G. Travaglini, revised 2020.
    14. Liguo Zhang & Langping Leng & Yongming Zeng & Xi Lin & Su Chen, 2021. "Spatial distribution of rural population using mixed geographically weighted regression: Evidence from Jiangxi Province in China," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(4), pages 1-15, April.
    15. Lin, Boqiang & Wang, You, 2024. "How does the natural disasters affect urban-rural income gap? Empirical evidence from China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 295(C).
    16. Angelo Antoci & Paolo Russu & Elisa Ticci, 2022. "Modeling maladaptation in the inequality–environment nexus," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 17(1), pages 115-140, January.

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