IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/cup/astinb/v37y2007i01p149-161_01.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Mortality Projection Based on the Wang Transform

Author

Listed:
  • Jong, Piet De
  • Marshall, Claymore

Abstract

A new method for analysing and projecting mortality is proposed and examined. The method takes observed time series of survival probabilities, finds the corresponding z-scores in the standard normal distribution and forecasts the z-scores. The z-scores appear to follow a common simple linear progression in time and hence forecasting is straightforward. Analysis on the z-score scale offers useful insights into the way mortality evolves over time. The method and extensions are applied to Australian female mortality data to derive projections to the year 2100 in both survival probabilities and expectations of life.

Suggested Citation

  • Jong, Piet De & Marshall, Claymore, 2007. "Mortality Projection Based on the Wang Transform," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 37(1), pages 149-161, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:astinb:v:37:y:2007:i:01:p:149-161_01
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S0515036100014781/type/journal_article
    File Function: link to article abstract page
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher & Søren Kjærgaard & James E. Oeppen & James W. Vaupel, 2019. "The impact of the choice of life table statistics when forecasting mortality," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 41(43), pages 1235-1268.
    2. Alexis Bienvenüe & Didier Rullière, 2009. "Sur une classe de transformations itérées pour l'ajustement et la simulation stochastique," Working Papers hal-00395495, HAL.
    3. Dominique Guegan & Bertrand Hassani & Kehan Li, 2017. "An alternative class of distortion operators alternative tools to generate asymmetrical multimodal distributions," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 17030, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
    4. Dominique Guegan & Bertrand Hassani & Kehan Li, 2017. "An alternative class of distortion operators," Post-Print halshs-01543251, HAL.
    5. Dominique Guegan & Bertrand Hassani & Kehan Li, 2017. "An alternative class of distortion operators," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-01543251, HAL.
    6. Chong It Tan & Jackie Li & Johnny Siu-Hang Li & Uditha Balasooriya, 2016. "Stochastic modelling of the hybrid survival curve," Journal of Population Research, Springer, vol. 33(4), pages 307-331, December.
    7. Alexis Bienvenüe & Didier Rullière, 2012. "Iterative Adjustment of Survival Functions by Composed Probability Distortions," The Geneva Risk and Insurance Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association for the Study of Insurance Economics (The Geneva Association), vol. 37(2), pages 156-179, September.
    8. Jacie Jia Liu, 2021. "A Study on Link Functions for Modelling and Forecasting Old-Age Survival Probabilities of Australia and New Zealand," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-18, January.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cup:astinb:v:37:y:2007:i:01:p:149-161_01. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Kirk Stebbing (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.cambridge.org/asb .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.