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The Use and Effectiveness of Fiscal Rules in Canadian Provinces

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  • Stephen Tapp

Abstract

This paper studies the fiscal rules used by Canadian provincial governments during 1981-2007, by employing various empirical approaches including panel regressions, instrumental variables, and difference-in-difference estimators. The results suggest that the type of fiscal rule matters, as budget balance and debt rules were effective whereas revenue and spending rules were ineffective on average over this period. Specifically, the preferred point estimates imply that budget balance rules were associated with improved budgetary balances of 0.8 percentage points of GDP, while debt rules were associated with net debt-to-GDP ratios that were 1.5 percentage points better on average.

Suggested Citation

  • Stephen Tapp, 2013. "The Use and Effectiveness of Fiscal Rules in Canadian Provinces," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, vol. 39(1), pages 45-70, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpp:issued:v:39:y:2013:i:1:p:45-70
    DOI: 10.3138/CPP.39.1.45
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    Cited by:

    1. Picchio, Matteo & Santolini, Raffaella, 2020. "Fiscal rules and budget forecast errors of Italian municipalities," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    2. Niklas Potrafke, 2023. "The Economic Consequences of Fiscal Rules," CESifo Working Paper Series 10765, CESifo.
    3. Juan Pablo Jiménez & Leonardo Letelier & Ignacio Ruelas & Jaime Bonet-Morón, 2021. "Reglas fiscales subnacionales: Revisión empírica, experiencias internacionales y sus desafíos en la nueva institucionalidad fiscal post COVID," Documentos de trabajo sobre Economía Regional y Urbana 300, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    4. Mara, Eugenia Ramona & Maran, Raluca, 2024. "Are fiscal rules efficient on public debt restraint in the presence of shadow economy?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    5. Stephen McBride, 2016. "Constitutionalizing Austerity: Taking the Public out of Public Policy," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 7(1), pages 5-14, February.
    6. Melville McMillan, 2019. "Provincial Public Infrastructure Spending and Financing in Alberta: Searching for a Better Course," SPP Research Papers, The School of Public Policy, University of Calgary, vol. 12(10), March.
    7. Haizhen Mou & Maritza Lozano Man Hing, 2021. "Stringency of balanced budget laws and transparency of budgeting process," Public Budgeting & Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(2), pages 45-64, June.
    8. Étienne Farvaque & Martial Foucault & Marcelin Joanis, 2015. "L’endettement public des provinces canadiennes : Les règles d’équilibre budgétaire sont-elles efficaces?," CIRANO Working Papers 2015s-10, CIRANO.
    9. Heinemann, Friedrich & Moessinger, Marc-Daniel & Yeter, Mustafa, 2018. "Do fiscal rules constrain fiscal policy? A meta-regression-analysis," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 69-92.
    10. Apeti, Ablam Estel & Bambe, Bao-We-Wal & Combes, Jean-Louis & Edoh, Eyah Denise, 2024. "Original sin: Fiscal rules and government debt in foreign currency in developing countries," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    11. Heiko T. Burret & Lars P. Feld, 2016. "Effects of Fiscal Rules - 85 Years' Experience in Switzerland," CESifo Working Paper Series 6063, CESifo.
    12. del Castillo, Ernesto & Cabral, René, 2024. "Subnational public debt sustainability in Mexico: Is the new fiscal rule working?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    13. Burret, Heiko T. & Feld, Lars P., 2018. "(Un-)intended effects of fiscal rules," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 166-191.

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