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Estimación del beta para el sector inmobiliario a partir del desempeno de fondos de inversión inmobiliaria en Colombia

Author

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  • Leonardo Santana Viloria

Abstract

RESUMEN La creación de fondos de inversión inmobiliaria en Colombia ha abierto posibilidades de diversificación de portafolio a agentes que deseen invertir en el sector inmobiliario sin tener que comprar y administrar finca raíz de forma directa. El comportamiento de estos fondos ha mostrado una rentabilidad promedio superior y una volatilidad menor que la del mercado durante los últimos anos. Este artículo aplica el modelo de valoración de activos de capital (CAPM) y estima varios modelos autorregresivos y de heterocedasticidad condicional, con el fin de calcular el beta de estos fondos como una aproximación a la sensibilidad al riesgo sistemático del sector inmobiliario. Los resultados de las estimaciones muestran que el nivel de riesgo del sector inmobiliario se encuentra muy por debajo del riesgo de mercado, lo cual sugiere que los proyectos inmobiliarios tienen un costo de capital mucho menor que el de determinados proyectos en otros sectores.******The creation of property investment funds in Colombia has made portfolio diversification possible by allowing parties to invest in the property sector without buying and managing real estate directly. In recent years, the behavior of these funds has shown higher average profits and lower volatility than that of the market. This study applies the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and estimates various autoregressive models and models of conditional heteroscedasticity, in order to calculate the beta of these funds as an estimate of the property sector’s sensitivity to systematic risk. Results show that the risk level of the property sector is far lower than that of the market, suggesting that real estate projects have much lower capital costs than projects in other sectors.

Suggested Citation

  • Leonardo Santana Viloria, 2015. "Estimación del beta para el sector inmobiliario a partir del desempeno de fondos de inversión inmobiliaria en Colombia," Revista Finanzas y Politica Economica, Universidad Católica de Colombia, vol. 7(1), pages 83-95, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000443:012604
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Blume, Marshall E, 1971. "On the Assessment of Risk," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 26(1), pages 1-10, March.
    2. Sergio Clavijo & Michel Janna & Santiago Muñoz, 2004. "LA VIVIENDA EN COLOMBIA: Sus Determinantes Socio-Económicos y Financieros," Borradores de Economia 3099, Banco de la Republica.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    fondos de inversión inmobiliaria; sector inmobiliario; modelo CAPM; modelos GARCH. property investment funds; property sector; CAPM model; GARCH models.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C20 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - General
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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