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La política fiscal frente a los flujos de capital: evidencia para algunos países de América Latina

Author

Listed:
  • Luis Ignacio Lozano Espitia
  • Ligia Alba Melo-Becerra
  • Jorge Enrique Ramos

Abstract

Los flujos de capital representan oportunidades para financiar el crecimiento y el desarrollo de los países, pero también conllevan riesgos, especialmente de tipo macroeconómico y financiero. Las respuestas de política para mitigar sus efectos, juegan un papel importante especialmente en los mercados emergentes. En este trabajo se evalúa la postura de la política fiscal frente a los choques de los flujos de capital registrados durante las dos últimas décadas en seis economías emergentes de América Latina: Argentina, Brasil, Chile, Colombia, México y Perú. Con base en la caracterización de los diferentes episodios de entradas y salidas súbitas de capital y en la estimación de un modelo de datos de panel con variables instrumentales, se encuentra quelos gobiernos no respondieron con medidas fiscales excepcionales. Por el contrario, su postura fiscal de naturaleza procíclica parece estar asociada al efecto que los flujos de capital produjeron sobre la actividad económica.

Suggested Citation

  • Luis Ignacio Lozano Espitia & Ligia Alba Melo-Becerra & Jorge Enrique Ramos, 2016. "La política fiscal frente a los flujos de capital: evidencia para algunos países de América Latina," Apuntes del Cenes, Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia, vol. 35(62), pages 53-85, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000152:014951
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    flujos de capital; política fiscal; economías emergentes.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F20 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - General
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory

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