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The Introduction of Emerging Currencies into a Portfolio: Towards a more Complete Diversification Model

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  • Stéphanie Prat
  • Sophie Brana

Abstract

We draw on portfolio theory and international diversification in order to analyse strategies allowing to reduce emerging economies' exposure to exchange-rate risk. We show in particular that it may be efficient for an investor, in terms of maximising the return-to-risk ratio, to build up a portfolio of emerging-country assets denominated in local currency - unhedged against currency risk - compared with a strategy including emerging-country securities denominated in foreign currencies. This strategy would lead to a reduction in the original sin (i.e. the inability of emerging economies to borrow in local currency), and de facto to a reduction in currency mismatches in the balance sheets of emerging economies.
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  • Stéphanie Prat & Sophie Brana, 2010. "The Introduction of Emerging Currencies into a Portfolio: Towards a more Complete Diversification Model," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 121, pages 5-24.
    • Handle: RePEc:cii:cepiie:2010-q1-121-1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Barry Eichengreen & Ricardo Hausmann & Ugo Panizza, 2007. "Currency Mismatches, Debt Intolerance, and the Original Sin: Why They Are Not the Same and Why It Matters," NBER Chapters, in: Capital Controls and Capital Flows in Emerging Economies: Policies, Practices, and Consequences, pages 121-170, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Burger, John D. & Warnock, Francis E., 2007. "Foreign participation in local currency bond markets," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 291-304.
    3. Hwang, Soosung & Pedersen, Christian S., 2004. "Asymmetric risk measures when modelling emerging markets equities: evidence for regional and timing effects," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 5(1), pages 109-128, March.
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    5. Bekaert, Geert & Harvey, Campbell R., 1997. "Emerging equity market volatility," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 29-77, January.
    6. Matus Medo & Chi Ho Yeung & Yi-Cheng Zhang, 2008. "How to quantify the influence of correlations on investment diversification," Papers 0805.3397, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2009.
    7. Campbell, Rachel A. & Kraussl, Roman, 2007. "Revisiting the home bias puzzle: Downside equity risk," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(7), pages 1239-1260, November.
    8. Robert Jarrow & Feng Zhao, 2006. "Downside Loss Aversion and Portfolio Management," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 52(4), pages 558-566, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Nadia Nadira Mohd Norsiman & Noor Azuddin Yakob & Carl B. McGowan, Jr, 2019. "The Effect of Portfolio Diversification for the Bursa Malaysia," Accounting and Finance Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 8(4), pages 1-76, November.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    International Portfolio Diversification; Original Sin; Emerging Countries; Downside Risk;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems

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