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Unsicherheit deutscher Unternehmen deutlich gestiegen

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  • Christian Grimme
  • Timo Wollmershäuser

Abstract

Die Unsicherheit deutscher Unternehmen im Hinblick auf die zukünftige wirtschaftliche Entwicklung ist zuletzt deutlich größer geworden. Das ifo Streuungsmaß, das monatlich im Rahmen der ifo Konjunkturumfragen berechnet wird und die Unsicherheit misst, ist zwischen Mai und September dieses Jahres um 6,2 Punkte gestiegen. Maßgeblich getrieben wird die zunehmende Unsicherheit durch die Unternehmen im Verarbeitenden Gewerbe und im Dienstleistungssektor.

Suggested Citation

  • Christian Grimme & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2018. "Unsicherheit deutscher Unternehmen deutlich gestiegen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(20), pages 51-52, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:71:y:2018:i:20:p:51-52
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. R?diger Bachmann & Steffen Elstner & Eric R. Sims, 2013. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 5(2), pages 217-249, April.
    2. Grimme, Christian, 2017. "Uncertainty and the Cost of Bank vs. Bond Finance," MPRA Paper 79852, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Leduc, Sylvain & Liu, Zheng, 2016. "Uncertainty shocks are aggregate demand shocks," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 20-35.
    4. Christian Grimme, 2017. "Messung der Unternehmensunsicherheit in Deutschland – das ifo Streuungsmaß," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(15), pages 19-25, August.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Bofinger, Peter & Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Schnabel, Isabel & Wieland, Volker, 2018. "Vor wichtigen wirtschaftspolitischen Weichenstellungen. Jahresgutachten 2018/19 [Setting the Right Course for Economic Policy. Annual Report 2018/19]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201819, September.
    2. Magnus Reif & Arno Städtler, 2019. "Wachstumsverlangsamung bei den Ausrüstungsinvestitionen – geringere Dynamik im Leasinggeschäft," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 72(01), pages 66-69, January.
    3. Timo Wollmershäuser & Marcell Göttert & Christian Grimme & Carla Krolage & Stefan Lautenbacher & Robert Lehmann & Sebastian Link & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Ann-Christin Rathje & Magnus Reif & Radek Šauer &, 2018. "ifo Konjunkturprognose Winter 2018: Deutsche Konjunktur kühlt sich ab," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(24), pages 28-82, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Unternehmen; Frühindikator; Streuungsmaß; Risiko; Deutschland; Konjunkturumfrage;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L25 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior - - - Firm Performance
    • C44 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Operations Research; Statistical Decision Theory

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