IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ces/ifosdt/v70y2017i15p26-30.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Zur Konstruktion einer gesamtwirtschaftlichen ifo Kapazitätsauslastung

Author

Listed:
  • Klaus Wohlrabe
  • Timo Wollmershäuser

Abstract

Die gesamtwirtschaftliche Kapazitätsauslastung ist eine wichtige Größe in der Konjunkturanalyse. Sie beschreibt den Nutzungsgrad der Produktionsanlagen einer Volkswirtschaft. Auch in vielen ökonomischen Theorien spielt die Kapazitätsauslastung einer Volkswirtschaft eine wichtige Rolle. So weisen überausgelastete Kapazitäten auf zunehmenden Investitionsbedarf hin. Schließlich wird die Kapazitätsauslastung bei der Bestimmung der Trendrate des technischen Fortschritts im Rahmen der Potenzialschätzung der EU-Kommission verwendet. Allerdings erhebt die amtliche Statistik keine Daten zur Kapazitätsauslastung. Deshalb wird in der Regel auf Befragungsdaten zurückgegriffen. In Deutschland sind die Unternehmensbefragungen des ifo Instituts dafür maßgeblich. In der praktischen Anwendung wird meist die Kapazitätsauslastung im Verarbeitenden Gewerbe verwendet. Wünschenswert wäre aber eine gesamtwirtschaftliche Kapazitätsauslastung, die insbesondere auch den Dienstleistungssektor berücksichtigt. In dem Beitrag wird aus den Konjunkturumfragen des ifo Instituts eine gesamtwirtschaftliche Kapazitätsauslastung konstruiert. Sie deutet darauf hin, dass sich die deutsche Volkswirtschaft seit 2013 in einem Aufschwung befindet, da der Auslastungsgrad stetig zunimmt. Außerdem sind die Produktionskapazitäten mittlerweile überdurchschnittlich ausgelastet.

Suggested Citation

  • Klaus Wohlrabe & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2017. "Zur Konstruktion einer gesamtwirtschaftlichen ifo Kapazitätsauslastung," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(15), pages 26-30, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:70:y:2017:i:15:p:26-30
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.ifo.de/DocDL/sd-2017-15-wohlrabe-wollmershaeuser-kapazitaetsauslastung-2017-08-10.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Newey, Whitney & West, Kenneth, 2014. "A simple, positive semi-definite, heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 33(1), pages 125-132.
    2. Robert Lehmann & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2017. "Die Inflation kommt zurück! Immer mehr Firmen in Deutschland wollen ihre Preise anheben," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(05), pages 16-21, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. repec:ces:ifosdt:v:71:y:2018:i:04:p:68-68 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Robert Lehmann, 2023. "The Forecasting Power of the ifo Business Survey," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 19(1), pages 43-94, March.
    3. Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Groll, Dominik & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Potjagailo, Galina & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2018. "Mittelfristprojektion für Deutschland im Frühjahr 2018 - Wachstum lässt nach: Konjunktur kühlt ab," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 42, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    4. Arno Städtler, 2017. "Leasing und Anlageinvestitionen weiter auf Wachstumskurs – beste Aussichten für 2018," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(23), pages 25-34, December.
    5. Klaus Wohlrabe & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2018. "Gesamtwirtschaftliche Kapazitäten zunehmend überausgelastet," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(04), pages 1-68, February.
    6. Magnus Reif & Arno Städtler, 2018. "Investitionen nehmen Fahrt auf," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(10), pages 32-35, May.
    7. Gantert, Konstantin, 2022. "The Impact of Active Aggregate Demand on Utilization-Adjusted TFP," VfS Annual Conference 2022 (Basel): Big Data in Economics 264103, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    8. Magnus Reif & Arno Städtler, 2018. "Investitionen und Leasing: Nachlassende Dynamik," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(13), pages 69-72, July.
    9. Timo Wollmershäuser & Silvia Delrio & Clemens Fuest & Marcell Göttert & Christian Grimme & Carla Krolage & Stefan Lautenbacher & Robert Lehmann & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Andreas Peichl & Magnus Reif & Rad, 2017. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2017–2019: Deutsche Wirtschaft auf dem Weg in die Hochkonjunktur," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(24), pages 28-81, December.
    10. Bofinger, Peter & Schnabel, Isabel & Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Wieland, Volker, 2017. "Für eine zukunftsorientierte Wirtschaftspolitik. Jahresgutachten 2017/18 [Towards a Forward-Looking Economic Policy. Annual Report 2017/18]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201718, September.
    11. Gantert, Konstantin, 2022. "The impact of active aggregate demand on utilisation-adjusted TFP," IWH Discussion Papers 9/2022, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    12. Magnus Reif & Arno Städtler, 2019. "Wachstumsverlangsamung bei den Ausrüstungsinvestitionen – geringere Dynamik im Leasinggeschäft," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 72(01), pages 66-69, January.
    13. Arno Städtler, 2018. "Schwächere Autokonjunktur dämpft Leasingwachstum – Anlageinvestitionen weiter auf Wachstumskurs," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(23), pages 36-46, December.
    14. Ademmer, Martin, 2018. "Vergleich der Produktionslückenschätzung mit der anderer Institutionen und alternativer Modelle," Kiel Insight 2018.7, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    15. Magnus Reif & Arno Städtler, 2018. "Investitionen springen an – Leasing boomt," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(01), pages 26-29, January.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Gric, Zuzana & Ehrenbergerova, Dominika & Hodula, Martin, 2022. "The power of sentiment: Irrational beliefs of households and consumer loan dynamics," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    2. Qazi Haque & Leandro M. Magnusson, 2020. "Identification robust empirical evidence on the Euler equation in open economies," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 20-01, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
    3. Alex Ilek & Tanya Suchoy & Nir Klein, 2006. "Estimating the premium implicit in the yields of Treasury Bills," Israel Economic Review, Bank of Israel, vol. 4(2), pages 53-83.
    4. Andrew M. McKenzie & Bingrong Jiang & Harjanto Djunaidi & Linwood A. Hoffman & Eric J. Wailes, 2002. "Unbiasedness and Market Efficiency Tests of the U.S. Rice Futures Market," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 24(2), pages 474-493.
    5. Chang, Eric C. & Cheng, Joseph W. & Khorana, Ajay, 2000. "An examination of herd behavior in equity markets: An international perspective," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(10), pages 1651-1679, October.
    6. Narayan, Seema & Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Tobing, Lutzardo, 2021. "Has tourism influenced Indonesia’s current account?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 225-237.
    7. Stephen Brown & William Goetzmann & Bing Liang & Christopher Schwarz, 2008. "Mandatory Disclosure and Operational Risk: Evidence from Hedge Fund Registration," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 63(6), pages 2785-2815, December.
    8. Hoang, Trung Xuan & Le, Duong Trung & Nguyen, Ha Minh & Vuong, Nguyen Dinh Tuan, 2020. "Labor market impacts and responses: The economic consequences of a marine environmental disaster," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    9. Evans, Kevin P. & Speight, Alan E.H., 2010. "Intraday periodicity, calendar and announcement effects in Euro exchange rate volatility," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(1), pages 82-101, January.
    10. Monica Paiella, 2007. "The Forgone Gains of Incomplete Portfolios," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 20(5), pages 1623-1646, 2007 13.
    11. Aslanidis, Nektarios & Christiansen, Charlotte, 2012. "Smooth transition patterns in the realized stock–bond correlation," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 454-464.
    12. Croce, M.M. & Nguyen, Thien T. & Raymond, S. & Schmid, L., 2019. "Government debt and the returns to innovation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(3), pages 205-225.
    13. Kano, Takashi, 2009. "Habit formation and the present-value model of the current account: Yet another suspect," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(1), pages 72-85, June.
    14. Cho, Guedae & Kim, MinKyoung & Koo, Won W., 2003. "Relative Agricultural Price Changes In Different Time Horizons," 2003 Annual meeting, July 27-30, Montreal, Canada 22249, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    15. Bansal, Ravi & Kiku, Dana & Yaron, Amir, 2016. "Risks for the long run: Estimation with time aggregation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 52-69.
    16. Bua, Giovanna & Kapp, Daniel & Ramella, Federico & Rognone, Lavinia, 2022. "Transition versus physical climate risk pricing in European financial markets: a text-based approach," Working Paper Series 2677, European Central Bank.
    17. Bissoondeeal, Rakesh K. & Karoglou, Michail & Binner, Jane M., 2019. "Structural changes and the role of monetary aggregates in the UK," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 100-107.
    18. Antonio Rubia & Trino-Manuel Ñíguez, 2006. "Forecasting the conditional covariance matrix of a portfolio under long-run temporal dependence," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(6), pages 439-458.
    19. Ju Ryum Chung & Eun Jung Cho & Ho-Young Lee & Myungsoo Son, 2017. "The impact of labour unions on external auditor selection and audit scope: evidence from the Korean market," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(48), pages 4833-4850, October.
    20. David Hirshleifer & Danling Jiang, 2010. "A Financing-Based Misvaluation Factor and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 23(9), pages 3401-3436.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Kapazitätsauslastung; Konjunkturforschung; Wirtschaftsindikator; Wirkungsanalyse;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D24 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Production; Cost; Capital; Capital, Total Factor, and Multifactor Productivity; Capacity
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:70:y:2017:i:15:p:26-30. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Klaus Wohlrabe (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ifooode.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.