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Das ifo Beschäftigungsbarometer: Ein Druckmesser für den deutschen Arbeitsmarkt

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  • Klaus Abberger

Abstract

Seit dem Jahr 2006 berechnet und veröffentlicht das ifo Institut monatlich das ifo Beschäftigungsbarometer als Indikator für die Entwicklung am deutschen Arbeitsmarkt. Es basiert auf den Befragungsergebnissen des monatlichen ifo Konjunkturtests. Das ifo Beschäftigungsbarometer hat frühzeitig signalisiert, dass der Arbeitsmarkt im Jahr 2003 seinen konjunkturellen Tiefpunkt erreicht hat. In den folgenden Monaten stieg das Barometer zunehmend und zeigte damit die positive Arbeitsmarktentwicklung der vergangenen Jahre frühzeitig und zuverlässig an. Aktuell steht das ifo Beschäftigungsbarometer weiterhin auf "Hoch". Daher dürfte sich der Arbeitsmarkt auch in diesem Frühjahr günstig entwickeln.

Suggested Citation

  • Klaus Abberger, 2008. "Das ifo Beschäftigungsbarometer: Ein Druckmesser für den deutschen Arbeitsmarkt," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 61(09), pages 19-22, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:61:y:2008:i:09:p:19-22
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    File URL: https://www.ifo.de/DocDL/ifosd_2008_9_3.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Abberger, Klaus, 2007. "Qualitative business surveys and the assessment of employment -- A case study for Germany," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 249-258.
    2. Gerhard Bry & Charlotte Boschan, 1971. "Cyclical Analysis of Time Series: Selected Procedures and Computer Programs," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number bry_71-1, June.
    3. Christian Hott & André Kunkel, 2004. "Ein ifo Beschäftigungsindikator," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(06), pages 53-57, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Robert Lehmann, 2023. "The Forecasting Power of the ifo Business Survey," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 19(1), pages 43-94, March.
    2. Robert Lehmann & Andreas Sharik & Michael Weber, 2014. "Der Erklärungsgehalt der regionalen ifo-Indikatoren am Beispiel der Industrie- und Bauumsätze," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 21(04), pages 18-24, August.
    3. Robert Lehmann, 2010. "Der ostdeutsche Arbeitsmarkt: Kann das ifo Beschäftigungsbarometer dessen konjunkturelle Dynamik abbilden?," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 17(06), pages 27-32, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Arbeitsmarkt; Beschäftigung; Arbeitsmarktprognose; Konjunktur; Deutschland;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure

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