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Eine Chronik klassischer Konjunkturzyklen für Deutschland

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  • Beate Schirwitz

Abstract

Die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung ist durch konjunkturelle Schwankungen geprägt. Allerdings existiert kein einheitliches Konzept zur Definition und Identifizierung von Konjunkturzyklen und deren einzelnen Phasen. In diesem Beitrag werden verschiedene häufig verwendete Ansätze zur Konjunkturmessung und Zyklendatierung vorgestellt und diskutiert. Anschließend wird mit Hilfe von deutschen Daten zum Bruttoinlandsprodukt und unter Heranziehung verschiedener Methoden der Zyklendatierung eine Konjunkturchronik für Deutschland entwickelt, die dem klassischen Ansatz zur Identifizierung von Zyklen in Niveaudaten folgt.

Suggested Citation

  • Beate Schirwitz, 2007. "Eine Chronik klassischer Konjunkturzyklen für Deutschland," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 14(05), pages .3-11, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:14:y:2007:i:05:p:s.3-11
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    5. Hamilton, James D, 1989. "A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(2), pages 357-384, March.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Konjunktur; Konjunkturindikator; Sozialprodukt; Deutschland;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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