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Libéralisation commerciale, croissance et pauvreté au Sénégal : une analyse à l'aide d'un MEGC microsimulé dynamique

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  • Nabil Annabi
  • Fatou Cissé
  • John Cockburn
  • Bernard Decaluwé

Abstract

An integrated sequential dynamic computable general equilibrium model is used to study the potential poverty and inequality effects of a complete tariff removal in Senegal. The model is calibrated with a 1996 social accounting matrix and a 1995 survey of 3,278 households. The outcomes indicate small short-run negative impacts in terms of welfare and poverty. In the long run, growth effects captured by the model bring an expansion of the industrial and service sectors and a substantial poverty decrease. However, the decomposition of the results shows that the contribution of the redistribution component to poverty alleviation is negative.

Suggested Citation

  • Nabil Annabi & Fatou Cissé & John Cockburn & Bernard Decaluwé, 2008. "Libéralisation commerciale, croissance et pauvreté au Sénégal : une analyse à l'aide d'un MEGC microsimulé dynamique," Economie & Prévision, La Documentation Française, vol. 0(5), pages 117-131.
    • Handle: RePEc:cai:ecoldc:ecop_186_0117
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    1. Jung, Hong-Sang & Thorbecke, Erik, 2003. "The impact of public education expenditure on human capital, growth, and poverty in Tanzania and Zambia: a general equilibrium approach," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 25(8), pages 701-725, November.
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    4. Nabil Annabi & H. Khondker Bazlul & Selim Raihan & John Cockburn & Bernard Decaluwe, 2005. "Implications of WTO Agreements and Domestic Trade Policy Reforms for Poverty in Bangladesh: Short vs. Long Run," Working Papers MPIA 2005-02, PEP-MPIA.
    5. Ravallion, Martin & Chen, Shaohua, 2003. "Measuring pro-poor growth," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 78(1), pages 93-99, January.
    6. Jagdish Bhagwati, 2002. "Trade and Poverty in the Poor Countries," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 92(2), pages 180-183, May.
    7. Decaluwe, B. & Patry, A. & Savard, L. & Thorbecke, E., 1999. "Poverty Analysis Within a General Equilibrium Framework," Cahiers de recherche 9909, Université Laval - Département d'économique.
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    1. UMBA, Gilles, 2013. "Ouverture commerciale et croissance économique en RD Congo : une analyse en équilibre général calculable [Trade openness and economic growth in the DR Congo : an analysis in a computable general eq," MPRA Paper 66092, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 13 Aug 2015.
    2. Rodrigue Nobosse Tchoffo & Ibrahim Ngouhouo, 2020. "Cameroon’s Bilateral Economic Partnership Agreement: A Microsimulation Approach," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 7(2), pages 67-84, March.
    3. Nabil Annabi & Maxime Fougere & Min Li, 2013. "Foreign Competition and Income Distribution in Canada: A Dynamic Microsimulation CGE Model Analysis," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(4), pages 525-547, December.
    4. Franck Viroleau, 2015. "The Evolution of Gender Wage Inequality in Senegal Following the Economic Partnership Agreements," EconomiX Working Papers 2015-10, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    5. Sokhna Diarra MBOUP & Racky BALDE & Thierno Malick DIALLO & Christian Arnault EMINI, 2016. "L’impact des réformes commerciales sur l’emploi et le bien-être dans les pays de la CEDEAO : le cas du Sénégal," Working Papers MPIA 2016-26, PEP-MPIA.

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