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L’impact des réformes commerciales sur l’emploi et le bien-être dans les pays de la CEDEAO : le cas du Sénégal

Author

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  • Sokhna Diarra MBOUP
  • Racky BALDE
  • Thierno Malick DIALLO
  • Christian Arnault EMINI

Abstract

This study evaluates the impact of the ECOWAS-CET and the Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) on youth employment and on welfare in Senegal. The analysis is conducted using the PEP-1-1 model, which is a static computable general equilibrium model. The simulation results indicate that applying ECOWAS-CET instead of WAEMU-CET generates an increase in youth and female employment, whatever their qualification level, as well as a general increase in welfare for households in Senegal. However, the implementation of EPA downgrades this situation and leads to a reverse effect on employment of all workers, mainly youth and female employment, as well as on welfare.

Suggested Citation

  • Sokhna Diarra MBOUP & Racky BALDE & Thierno Malick DIALLO & Christian Arnault EMINI, 2016. "L’impact des réformes commerciales sur l’emploi et le bien-être dans les pays de la CEDEAO : le cas du Sénégal," Working Papers MPIA 2016-26, PEP-MPIA.
    • Handle: RePEc:lvl:mpiacr:2016-26
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. John Cockburn & Erwin Corong & Bernard Decaluwé & Ismaël Fofana & Véronique Robichaud, 2010. "The Gender and Poverty Impacts of Trade Liberalization in Senegal," Cahiers de recherche 1013, CIRPEE.
    2. Bernard Decaluwé & Yazid Dissou & André Patry, 2001. "Union douanière au sein de l'UEMOA. Une analyse quantitative," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 52(4), pages 811-830.
    3. Berisha-Krasniqi, Valdete & Bouet, Antoine & Mevel, Simon, 2008. "Economic partnership agreements between the European Union and African, Caribbean, and Pacific Countries: What is at stake for Senegal," IFPRI discussion papers 765, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    4. Bernard Decaluwé & John Cockburn & Fatou Cissé & Nabil Annabi, 2008. "Libéralisation commerciale, croissance et pauvreté au Sénégal : une analyse à l’aide d’un MEGC microsimulé dynamique," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 186(5), pages 117-131.
    5. Fofana, Ismaël & Diallo, Mamadou Yaya & Sarr, Ousseynou & Diouf, Abdou, 2015. "2011 Social Accounting Matrix for Senegal:," IFPRI discussion papers 1417, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    ECOWAS; Senegal; Trade; Free trade; Regional Integration; Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA); Employment; Welfare; Computable general equilibrium (CGE) model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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