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Biais cognitifs et choix technologiques : une analyse des priorités des experts français

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  • Caroline Hussler
  • Patrick Rondé

Abstract

Cognitive Biases and Technological Choices: an Analysis of French Experts'Priorities by Caroline Hussler and Patrick Rondé Amid the current proliferation of socio-technical controversies, the judgment of experts and its representativeness have become core issues. Our article seeks to analyze the behavior of French experts in order to test the neutrality of their technological choices. To address this question, we have drawn on a technology outlook survey conducted in France, in which 1,200 experts were asked to rate the importance of 1,150 technological options for the future. We performed empirical tests to determine whether the respondents'choices depended on their level of expertise. We found that the designated research priorities matched the experts'centers of interest. This suggests that the experts'opinions suffer from biases that are relatively incompatible with the objectivity criteria used to justify the selection of the sample.

Suggested Citation

  • Caroline Hussler & Patrick Rondé, 2006. "Biais cognitifs et choix technologiques : une analyse des priorités des experts français," Economie & Prévision, La Documentation Française, vol. 0(4), pages 65-77.
    • Handle: RePEc:cai:ecoldc:ecop_175_0065
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