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Foul accumulation in the NBA

Author

Listed:
  • Chu Dani

    (Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, BC, V5A1S6, Canada)

  • Swartz Tim B.

    (Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, BC, V5A1S6, Canada)

Abstract

This paper investigates the fouling time distribution of players in the National Basketball Association. A Bayesian analysis is presented based on the assumption that fouling time distributions follow a gamma distribution. Various insights are obtained including the observation that players accumulate fouls at a rate that increases with the current number of fouls. We demonstrate possible ways to incorporate the fouling time distributions to provide decision support to coaches in the management of playing time.

Suggested Citation

  • Chu Dani & Swartz Tim B., 2020. "Foul accumulation in the NBA," Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 16(4), pages 301-309, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bpj:jqsprt:v:16:y:2020:i:4:p:301-309:n:4
    DOI: 10.1515/jqas-2019-0119
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mogensen, Ulla B. & Ishwaran, Hemant & Gerds, Thomas A., 2012. "Evaluating Random Forests for Survival Analysis Using Prediction Error Curves," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 50(i11).
    2. Beaudoin, David & Swartz, Tim B., 2010. "Strategies for Pulling the Goalie in Hockey," The American Statistician, American Statistical Association, vol. 64(3), pages 197-204.
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