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Patent Valuation under Spatial Point Processes with Delayed and Decreasing Jump Intensity

Author

Listed:
  • Cerqueti Roy

    (Department of Economics and Law, University of Macerata, Italy)

  • Ventura Marco

    (ISTAT, Italian National Institute of Statistics, P.zza Dell’Indipendenza 4, 00185 Rome, Italy)

Abstract

This article is set within the real options approach applied to patent valuation. Such evaluation is based on the knowledge of the impact of some events on the underlying state, which is modeled in discrete time as a spatial point process, i.e. both size and time of the jumps can be treated as random variables. This assumption allows us to improve upon the current theory of patent valuation in some respects. In particular, the propagation of the jumps from the economic environment to the patent value is not restricted to be immediate, but can occur with a random delay and with varying intensity, depending on the time to maturity. These actual features lead to a more general formula for patent value that may give rise to a non-trivial difference not accounted for in the existing literature.

Suggested Citation

  • Cerqueti Roy & Ventura Marco, 2015. "Patent Valuation under Spatial Point Processes with Delayed and Decreasing Jump Intensity," The B.E. Journal of Theoretical Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 15(2), pages 433-456, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:bpj:bejtec:v:15:y:2015:i:2:p:433-456:n:2
    DOI: 10.1515/bejte-2013-0104
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Schankerman, Mark & Pakes, Ariel, 1986. "Estimates of the Value of Patent Rights in European Countries during the Post-1950 Period," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 96(384), pages 1052-1076, December.
    2. Jean O. Lanjouw & Ariel Pakes & Jonathan Putnam, 1998. "How to Count Patents and Value Intellectual Property: The Uses of Patent Renewal and Application Data," Journal of Industrial Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(4), pages 405-432, December.
    3. Pakes, Ariel S, 1986. "Patents as Options: Some Estimates of the Value of Holding European Patent Stocks," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 54(4), pages 755-784, July.
    4. Marc Baudry & Béatrice Dumont, 2006. "Patent Renewals as Options: Improving the Mechanism for Weeding Out Lousy Patents," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer;The Industrial Organization Society, vol. 28(1), pages 41-62, February.
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    6. Pennings, Enrico & Sereno, Luigi, 2011. "Evaluating pharmaceutical R&D under technical and economic uncertainty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 212(2), pages 374-385, July.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    patent value; jump; stochastic point process; real options;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L00 - Industrial Organization - - General - - - General
    • O34 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Intellectual Property and Intellectual Capital
    • C65 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Miscellaneous Mathematical Tools

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