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Monetary, Financial and Fiscal Stability in the East African Community: Ready for a Monetary Union?

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  • Laetitia Lepetit
  • Clovis Rugemintwari
  • Frank Strobel

Abstract

We examine prospects for a monetary union in the East African Community (EAC) by developing a stylized model of policymakers' decision problem that allows for uncertain benefits derived from monetary,financial and fiscal stability, and then calibrating the model for the EAC for the period 2003-2010. When policymakers properly allow for uncertainty, none of the countries wants to pursue a monetary union based on either monetary or financial stability grounds, and only Rwanda might favor it on fiscal stability grounds; we argue that robust institutional arrangements assuring substantial improvements in monetary, financial and fiscal stability are needed to compensate.
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Suggested Citation

  • Laetitia Lepetit & Clovis Rugemintwari & Frank Strobel, 2015. "Monetary, Financial and Fiscal Stability in the East African Community: Ready for a Monetary Union?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(8), pages 1179-1204, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:worlde:v:38:y:2015:i:8:p:1179-1204
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/twec.12243
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    3. Samba Diop & Simplice A. Asongu, 2020. "An Index of African Monetary Integration (IAMI)," Working Papers 20/003, European Xtramile Centre of African Studies (EXCAS).
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    5. Simplice Asongu & Jacinta C. Nwachukwu & Vanessa S. Tchamyou, 2017. "A summary of a survey on proposed African monetary unions," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute. 17/008, African Governance and Development Institute..
    6. Serge Ky & Clovis Rugemintwari & Alain Sauviat, 2019. "Is fintech good for bank performance? The case of mobile money in the East African Community," Working Papers hal-02155077, HAL.

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