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Gerrymandering on Georgia's Mind: The Effects of Redistricting on Vote Choice in the 2006 Midterm Election

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  • M. V. Hood
  • Seth C. McKee

Abstract

Objective. We make use of individual‐level survey data from the 2006 midterm election in order to determine the degree to which redistricting affected the vote choice of whites residing in Georgia Congressional Districts 8 and 12. Methods. A multivariate probit model was used to assess the probability of voting for the GOP House candidate among voters represented by the same incumbent before and after redistricting versus voters who had been newly drawn into one of these districts. Results. Despite a national tide that favored the Democratic Party in the 2006 elections, redrawn whites were more likely to vote for the Republican challengers in the districts surveyed. Conclusions. Our findings indicate that redistricting can be used to dampen the incumbency advantage. In addition, the findings of this research also speak to the continuing Republican realignment of white voters in the Deep South and to the recognition that the effects of redistricting are dependent on political context.

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  • M. V. Hood & Seth C. McKee, 2008. "Gerrymandering on Georgia's Mind: The Effects of Redistricting on Vote Choice in the 2006 Midterm Election," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 89(1), pages 60-77, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:socsci:v:89:y:2008:i:1:p:60-77
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6237.2008.00521.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Tomz, Michael & Wittenberg, Jason & King, Gary, 2003. "Clarify: Software for Interpreting and Presenting Statistical Results," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 8(i01).
    2. Seth C. McKee & Jeremy M. Teigen & Mathieu Turgeon, 2006. "The Partisan Impact of Congressional Redistricting: The Case of Texas, 2001–2003," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 87(2), pages 308-317, June.
    3. Epstein, David & O'Halloran, Sharyn, 1999. "A Social Science Approach to Race, Redistricting, and Representation," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 93(1), pages 187-191, March.
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    1. Christopher N. Lawrence & Scott H. Huffmon, 2015. "Keeping Up with the Congressmen: Evaluating Constituents’ Awareness of Redistricting," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 96(1), pages 65-75, March.
    2. H. Benjamin Ashton & Michael H. Crespin & Seth C. McKee, 2023. "Dueling incumbent primaries in U.S. House elections," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 104(2), pages 125-139, March.

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