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Global Determinants of the Gold Price: A Multivariate Cointegration Analysis

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  • Michael Murach

Abstract

The present paper follows publications which have investigated the influence of global liquidity developments on commodity prices and asset price indices. It contributes to the literature by analyzing how global developments in money, output, and inflation can be related to developments in gold prices in a long‐run perspective. Applying a multivariate cointegration (CVAR) analysis, this study investigates long‐run relationships between these variables. The results suggest a significant influence of excess global liquidity on real gold prices and a co‐movement of real gold prices and global inflation.

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  • Michael Murach, 2019. "Global Determinants of the Gold Price: A Multivariate Cointegration Analysis," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 66(1), pages 198-214, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:scotjp:v:66:y:2019:i:1:p:198-214
    DOI: 10.1111/sjpe.12190
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    Cited by:

    1. Giannellis, Nikolaos & Koukouritakis, Minoas, 2019. "Gold price and exchange rates: A panel smooth transition regression model for the G7 countries," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 27-46.
    2. José Alves & João Quental Gonçalves, 2022. "How Money Relates to Value? An Empirical Examination on Gold, Silver and Bitcoin," CESifo Working Paper Series 9662, CESifo.
    3. Golitsis, Petros & Gkasis, Pavlos & Bellos, Sotirios K., 2022. "Dynamic spillovers and linkages between gold, crude oil, S&P 500, and other economic and financial variables. Evidence from the USA," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    4. Joscha Beckmann & Robert L. Czudaj & Gary Koop, 2019. "An empirical assessment of recent challenges in today's financial markets," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 66(1), pages 1-4, February.

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