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The Term Structure of Interest Rates and Economic Activity in South Africa

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  • HUGO NEL*

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  • Hugo Nel*, 1996. "The Term Structure of Interest Rates and Economic Activity in South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 64(3), pages 151-157, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:sajeco:v:64:y:1996:i:3:p:151-157
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1813-6982.1996.tb01126.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ben S. Bernanke, 1990. "On the predictive power of interest rates and interest rate spreads," New England Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, issue Nov, pages 51-68.
    2. J. Whittaker & A. J. Theunissen, 1987. "Why does the Reserve Bank Set the Interest Rate?," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 55(1), pages 9-20, March.
    3. N. Gregory Mankiw & Jeffrey A. Miron, 1986. "The Changing Behavior of the Term Structure of Interest Rates," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 101(2), pages 211-228.
    4. H. Nel, 1994. "Monetary Control and Interest Rates During the Post‐De Kock Commission Period," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 62(1), pages 8-16, March.
    5. Bernanke, Ben S & Blinder, Alan S, 1992. "The Federal Funds Rate and the Channels of Monetary Transmission," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 82(4), pages 901-921, September.
    6. Edward J. Stevens, 1989. "Is there a message in the yield curve?," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, issue Mar.
    7. C. Alan Garner, 1987. "The yield curve and inflation expectations," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, vol. 72(Sep), pages 3-15.
    8. Zuliu Hu, 1993. "The Yield Curve and Real Activity," IMF Working Papers 1993/019, International Monetary Fund.
    9. Reuben A. Kessel, 1965. "The Cyclical Behavior of the Term Structure of Interest Rates," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number kess65-1.
    10. B. J. Moore & B. W. Smit, 1986. "Wages, Money and Inflation," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 54(1), pages 48-56, March.
    11. H. Nel, 1994. "Monetary Control and Interest Rates During the Post‐De Kock Commission Period," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 62(1), pages 1-7, March.
    12. James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 1989. "New Indexes of Coincident and Leading Economic Indicators," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1989, Volume 4, pages 351-409, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Zuliu Hu, 1993. "The Yield Curve and Real Activity," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 40(4), pages 781-806, December.
    14. Gerald H. Anderson & John J. Erceg, 1989. "Forecasting turning points with leading indicators," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, issue Oct.
    15. Chen, Nai-Fu, 1991. "Financial Investment Opportunities and the Macroeconomy," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 46(2), pages 529-554, June.
    16. McCallum, Bennett T., 1983. "A reconsideration of Sims' evidence concerning monetarism," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 13(2-3), pages 167-171.
    17. G. L. De Wet, 1986. "Monetary Control as Seen by the de Kock Commission: An Assessment," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 54(1), pages 6-13, March.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Moolman, Elna, 2004. "A Markov switching regime model of the South African business cycle," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 21(4), pages 631-646, July.
    2. Ferdi Botha & Gavin Keeton, 2014. "A Note on the (Continued) Ability of the Yield Curve to Forecast Economic Downturns in South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 82(3), pages 468-473, September.
    3. Adél Bosch & Franz Ruch, 2013. "An Alternative Business Cycle Dating Procedure for South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 81(4), pages 491-516, December.
    4. Rangan Gupta & Hylton Hollander & Rudi Steinbach, 2020. "Forecasting output growth using a DSGE-based decomposition of the South African yield curve," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 351-378, January.
    5. Costas M. Stephanou & Gawie S. du Toit & Marius J. Maritz, 2003. "The Release of Nelson Mandela: Effect on the Johannesburg Securities Exchange," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 7(3-4), pages 153-175, September.
    6. Johannes W. Fedderke, 2020. "Is the Phillips curve framework still useful for understanding inflation dynamics in South Africa," Working Papers 10142, South African Reserve Bank.
    7. Johannes W. Fedderke, 2021. "The South African–United States sovereign bond spread and its association with macroeconomic fundamentals," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 89(4), pages 499-525, December.
    8. Makram El-Shagi & Lunan Jiang, 2019. "Efficient Dynamic Yield Curve Estimation in Emerging Financial Markets," CFDS Discussion Paper Series 2019/4, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China.
    9. Paul Francois Muzindutsi & Sinethemba Mposelwa, 2016. "Testing the Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Interest Rates in Brics Countries: A Multivariate Co-integration Approach," Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 12(4), pages 289-304, October.
    10. Bernard Njindan Iyke, 2017. "On the term structure of South African interest rates: cointegration and threshold adjustment," International Journal of Sustainable Economy, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 9(4), pages 300-321.
    11. Njindan Iyke, Bernard, 2015. "On The Term Structure of South African Interest Rates: Cointegration and Threshold Adjustment," MPRA Paper 67681, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Smile Dube & Yan Zhou, 2013. "South Africa¡¯s Short and Long Term Interest Rates: A Threshold Cointegration Analysis," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 3(1), pages 187-211, June.
    13. Lumengo BONGA-BONGA, 2009. "Monetary Policy and Long Term Interest Rate in South Africa," EcoMod2009 21500016, EcoMod.
    14. Johannes Peyavali Sheefeni Sheefeni & Teresia Kaulihowa, 2016. "Examining the Relationship between Term Structure of Interest Rates and Economic Activity in Namibia," International Journal of Economics and Financial Research, Academic Research Publishing Group, vol. 2(9), pages 161-168, 09-2016.

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