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An empirical analysis of gentrification in Istanbul

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  • Zühal Özbay Daş
  • Gülşah Özşahin

Abstract

This paper begins by investigating the occurrence of gentrification in Istanbul during the period of 2008 and 2017, through the application of dynamic system/difference generalized method of moments estimation techniques. Our findings reveal that gentrification seems to have taken hold with the processes of urban regeneration that began in 2012. Additional associations between such parameters as housing price/rent growth, demographic changes, enterprise growth, and political administration (that is, whether the district is overseen by the opposition party or not) are tested through the use of REIDIN sales and rent indices, along with Turkish Statistical Institute data sets for 25 districts in Istanbul and 19 city‐centre districts. The results demonstrate that gentrification is closely related to demographics/age and political administration. Overall, while house price/rent growth and enterprise growth are not observed to have an impact on gentrification, the findings of this study reveal that the association between housing prices and gentrification is positive only in those districts governed by the opposition party. The study thus raises questions about the relationship between political attitudes and gentrification in Turkey. El presente documento comienza con una investigación de la presencia del aburguesamiento en Estambul entre 2008 y 2017, mediante la aplicación de técnicas de estimación del método de los momentos generalizado de las diferencias/sistemas dinámicos. Nuestros hallazgos muestran que el aburguesamiento parece haberse apoderado de los procesos de regeneración urbana que comenzaron en 2012. Se comprobaron asociaciones adicionales entre parámetros como el crecimiento del precio y del alquiler de la vivienda, los cambios demográficos, el crecimiento empresarial y la administración política (es decir, si el distrito está supervisado por el partido de la oposición o no) mediante el uso de los índices de ventas y alquileres de la base de datos de REIDIN, junto con las bases de datos del Instituto de Estadística de Turquía para 25 distritos de Estambul y 19 distritos del centro de la ciudad. Los resultados demuestran que el aburguesamiento está estrechamente relacionado con la demografía/edad y la administración política. En general, si bien no se observó que el aumento del precio de la vivienda o de los alquileres o el crecimiento de las empresas tengan un impacto en el aburguesamiento, los hallazgos de este estudio revelan que la relación entre el precio de la vivienda y el aburguesamiento es positiva sólo en los distritos gobernados por el partido de la oposición. Así pues, el estudio plantea cuestiones sobre la relación entre las actitudes políticas y el aburguesamiento en Turquía. 本稿では始めに、モーメント法の動的システム/差分一般化の技法を適用して、2008~2017年のイスタンブールで発生したジェントリフィケーションの検討を行う。その結果から、2012年に始まった都市再開発の過程でジェントリフィケーションが確立したようであることが明らかになった。住宅価格/家賃の上昇、人口統計的な変化、企業の成長、政治的行政 (すなわち、その地区が野党によって管理されているかどうか)などのパラメータ間の更なる関連性を、トルコ統計機構のイスタンブールの25の地区と都市中心部の19地区のデータセットと共に、REIDINの住宅価格と家賃の指数を用いて検証した。結果から、ジェントリフィケーションが人口統計/年齢および政治的行政と密接に関係していることが示された。全体として、住宅価格/家賃の上昇および企業の成長は、ジェントリフィケーションに影響しないことが認められたが、本研究の知見から、住宅価格とジェントリフィケーションとは、野党が行政管理を行っている地域でのみプラスの関連性があることが明らかになった。以上のように、この研究は、トルコにおける政治的態度とジェントリフィケーションとの関連性についての問題を提起するものである。

Suggested Citation

  • Zühal Özbay Daş & Gülşah Özşahin, 2021. "An empirical analysis of gentrification in Istanbul," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(3), pages 501-526, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:rgscpp:v:13:y:2021:i:3:p:501-526
    DOI: 10.1111/rsp3.12283
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