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Did Office Market Size Matter in the 1980s? A Time‐Series Cross‐Sectional Analysis of Metropolitan Area Office Markets

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  • Henry O. Pollakowski
  • Susan M. Wachter
  • Lloyd Lynford

Abstract

Recent contributions to the literature have resulted in a standard modelling of office markets. The models provide considerable insight into the working of office markets. • Nonetheless, a major difficulty is the use of data for a single city or aggregate data for the U.S. The latter implicitly assumes that model structure is invariant across cities. In this article we test for structural differences in office markets by size class. Rental data from REIS Reports for twenty‐one metropolitan areas for the time period 1981 to 1990 are used to model office market behavior. Results suggest market outcomes vary by city size, larger markets are better modelled using standard procedures, and Manhattan behaves quite differently from the other markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Henry O. Pollakowski & Susan M. Wachter & Lloyd Lynford, 1992. "Did Office Market Size Matter in the 1980s? A Time‐Series Cross‐Sectional Analysis of Metropolitan Area Office Markets," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 20(2), pages 302-324, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:reesec:v:20:y:1992:i:2:p:302-324
    DOI: 10.1111/1540-6229.00586
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    Cited by:

    1. Zeno Adams & Roland Füss, 2012. "Disentangling the Short and Long-Run Effects of Occupied Stock in the Rental Adjustment Process," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 44(4), pages 570-590, May.
    2. Allison M. Orr & Colin Jones, 2003. "The Analysis and Prediction of Urban Office Rents," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 40(11), pages 2255-2284, October.
    3. Barrett, Alan & Kearney, Ide & Goggin, Jean, 2008. "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Winter 2008," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QEC20084, July.
    4. John Henneberry & Tony McGough & Fotis Mouzakis, 2005. "The Impact of Planning on Local Business Rents," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 42(3), pages 471-502, March.
    5. Rena Sivitanidou, 1999. "Does the Theory of Irreversible Investments Help Explain Movements in Office-Commerical Construction?," Working Paper 8659, USC Lusk Center for Real Estate.
    6. V. Atilla Oven & Dilek Pekdemir, 2006. "Perceptions of office rent determinants by real estate brokerage firms in Istanbul," European Planning Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(4), pages 557-576, May.
    7. Stephen Malpezzi & James D. Shilling & Yu Yun Jessie Yang, 2001. "The Stock of Private Real Estate Capital in U.S. Metropolitan Areas," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 22(3), pages 243-270.
    8. V.Atilla Oven & Dilek Pekdemir, 2004. "A comparison between office rent determinants of Istanbul and other major metropolitan areas," ERSA conference papers ersa04p166, European Regional Science Association.
    9. Catherine Jackson, 2001. "A Model of Spatial Patterns across Local Retail Property Markets in Great Britain," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 38(9), pages 1445-1471, August.
    10. A J McGough & S Tsolacos, 1997. "The Stylised Facts of the UK Commercial Building Cycles," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 29(3), pages 485-500, March.
    11. Sotiris Tsolacos & Tony McGough, 1999. "Rational Expectations, Uncertainty and Cyclical Activity in the British Office Market," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 36(7), pages 1137-1149, June.
    12. McCartney, John, 2008. "An Empirical Analysis of Development Cycles in the Dublin Office Market 1976-2007," Quarterly Economic Commentary: Special Articles, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), vol. 2008(4-Winter), pages 68-92.

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