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The effects of future retail developments on the local economy: Combining micro and macro approaches

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  • Eveline S. Van Leeuwen

Abstract

The aim of this research is to evaluate future retail developments in a medium‐sized town and the indirect effects of individual behaviour on the local economy. Therefore we combine a spatial microsimulation model with a conditional logit model estimating the spatial shopping behaviour of households to simulate the effect of future retail developments. Then, we estimate the macro effects of these developments, mainly the effects on the retail sector, with help of an interregional SAM on town level. This analysis shows how different locations for retail developments have different impacts on households and firms in the local economy. Resumen El objetivo de esta investigación es evaluar futuras áreas comerciales en una ciudad de tamaño medio, así como loa efectos indirectos del comportamiento individual en la economía local. Por tanto, combinamos un modelo de micro simulación espacial con un modelo logit condicional que estima el comportamiento espacial familiar como consumidores para simular el efecto de futuras áreas comerciales. A continuación, estimamos los macro efectos de estas áreas, principalmente los efectos en el sector comercial, con ayuda de una MCS interregional a escala urbana. Este análisis muestra los impactos diferentes en las familias y empresas en la economía local que tienen las distintas localizaciones de futuras áreas comerciales.

Suggested Citation

  • Eveline S. Van Leeuwen, 2010. "The effects of future retail developments on the local economy: Combining micro and macro approaches," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 89(4), pages 691-710, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:presci:v:89:y:2010:i:4:p:691-710
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1435-5957.2010.00307.x
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    2. Eveline van Leeuwen & Karima Kourtit & Peter Nijkamp, 2013. "Residents' Appreciation of Cultural Heritage in Tourist Centres: A Microsimulation Modelling Approach to Amsterdam," Tourism Economics, , vol. 19(5), pages 1077-1098, October.
    3. Annie TUBADJI & Vassilis ANGELIS & Peter NIJKAMP, 2019. "Micro-Cultural Preferences and Macro-Percolation of New Ideas: A NetLogo Simulation," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 10(1), pages 168-185, March.
    4. Dragan Stojković & Emilija Manić & Zoran Bogetić & Aleksa Dokić, 2018. "Regional Retail Sector Development in Serbia – Key Performance and Development Indicators’ Gap," Economic Themes, Sciendo, vol. 56(3), pages 335-356, September.
    5. Eveline van Leeuwen & Yoshifumi Ishikawa & Peter Nijkamp, 2016. "Microsimulation and interregional input–output modelling as tools for multi-level policy analysis," Environment and Planning C, , vol. 34(1), pages 135-150, February.

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