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Economic-Demographic Effects of Immigration: Results from a Dynamic Spatial Microsimulation Model

Author

Listed:
  • Terance J. Rephann

    (Office of Institutional Research, Allegany College of Maryland, Cumberland, MD, trephann@allegany.edu)

  • Einar Holm

    (Department of Social and Economic Geography, Umeå University, Sweden, einar.holm@geography.umu.se)

Abstract

Sweden has a liberal immigration policy compared to other developed countries. However, this policy has been reexamined in recent years. This article examines the economic-demographic effects of immigration using a dynamic spatial microsimulation model called SVERIGE (System for Visualizing Economic and Regional Influences Governing the Environment). It presents simulations that vary three key characteristics of immigration:(1) magnitude, (2) ethnicorigins, and (3) settlement characteristics. Outcome variables examined include immigration, emigration, births, population, migration, labor force participation, and average earnings. Preliminary and illustrative results suggest that large immigration flows can be accommodated by a country with modest economic-demographic effects. Also, the characteristics of immigrants, including initial settlement choice, affect outcomes in different ways.

Suggested Citation

  • Terance J. Rephann & Einar Holm, 2004. "Economic-Demographic Effects of Immigration: Results from a Dynamic Spatial Microsimulation Model," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 27(4), pages 379-410, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:inrsre:v:27:y:2004:i:4:p:379-410
    DOI: 10.1177/0160017604267628
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. ., 2012. "Migration impact assessment: a state of the art," Chapters, in: Peter Nijkamp & Jacques Poot & Mediha Sahin (ed.), Migration Impact Assessment, chapter 1, pages 3-62, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    3. Frederik Priem & Philip Stessens & Frank Canters, 2020. "Microsimulation of Residential Activity for Alternative Urban Development Scenarios: A Case Study on Brussels and Flemish Brabant," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-28, March.
    4. Eveline van Leeuwen & Karima Kourtit & Peter Nijkamp, 2013. "Residents' Appreciation of Cultural Heritage in Tourist Centres: A Microsimulation Modelling Approach to Amsterdam," Tourism Economics, , vol. 19(5), pages 1077-1098, October.
    5. Malcolm Campbell & Dimitris Ballas, 2013. "A spatial microsimulation approach to economic policy analysis in Scotland," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 5(3), pages 263-288, August.
    6. Antonis Rovolis & Alexandra Tragaki, 2005. "The Regional Dimension of Migration in Greece - Spatial Patterns and Causal Factors," ERSA conference papers ersa05p774, European Regional Science Association.
    7. Antonis Rovolis & Alexandra Tragaki, 2006. "Immigrant Population in a New Host-Region: Differences and Similarities Across Southern European Countries," ERSA conference papers ersa06p877, European Regional Science Association.
    8. Cathal O'Donoghue & Karyn Morrissey & John Lennon, 2014. "Spatial Microsimulation Modelling: a Review of Applications and Methodological Choices," International Journal of Microsimulation, International Microsimulation Association, vol. 7(1), pages 26-75.
    9. Simonetta Longhi & Peter Nijkamp & Jacques Poot, 2009. "Regional Economic Impacts of Immigration: A Review," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 09-047/3, Tinbergen Institute, revised 23 Jul 2009.
    10. Lay-Yee, Roy & Milne, Barry & Davis, Peter & Pearson, Janet & McLay, Jessica, 2015. "Determinants and disparities: A simulation approach to the case of child health care," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 202-211.
    11. Nijkamp, P. & Poot, H.J., 2012. "Migration impact assessment: A state of the art," Serie Research Memoranda 0009, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics.
    12. Heffner Krystian & Solga Brygida, 2013. "Features of a migration region – an analysis using the example of the Opolskie Voivodship," Bulletin of Geography. Socio-economic Series, Sciendo, vol. 20(20), pages 43-58, June.
    13. Eveline S. Van Leeuwen, 2010. "The effects of future retail developments on the local economy: Combining micro and macro approaches," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 89(4), pages 691-710, November.
    14. Dianna M. Smith & Alison Heppenstall & Monique Campbell, 2021. "Estimating Health over Space and Time: A Review of Spatial Microsimulation Applied to Public Health," J, MDPI, vol. 4(2), pages 1-11, June.
    15. Leeuwen, E.S. van & Nijkamp, P., 2011. "Operational advances in tourism research," Serie Research Memoranda 0019, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics.

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