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The Recent Mortality Decline in Russia: Beginning of the Cardiovascular Revolution?

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Listed:
  • Pavel Grigoriev
  • France Meslé
  • Vladimir M. Shkolnikov
  • Evgeny Andreev
  • Agnieszka Fihel
  • Marketa Pechholdova
  • Jacques Vallin

Abstract

type="main"> The health situation in Russia has often been characterized as a long-running crisis. From the 1960s until the beginning of the 2000s, the declining life expectancy trend was substantially interrupted only twice: once in the mid-1980s as a result of Gorbachev's anti-alcohol campaign, and again at the end of the 1990s as a result of the “rebound” effect following the dramatic rise in mortality associated with the acute socioeconomic crisis. In both cases, the progress made proved to be short-lived. A third mortality decline in Russia began in 2003 and is still ongoing. We investigate the components and driving forces of this new development, in particular the role played by cardiovascular diseases. Using cause-specific mortality data, we identify the main features of the recent improvements and compare these features with those observed in selected European countries, specifically France, Poland, and Estonia. Our aim is to gauge whether the features of the improvements in these countries are similar to those of the recent advancements made in Russia. Although the recent improvements in Russia have features in common with initial stages of prior mortality declines in other countries and may support optimism about the future, a return to mortality stagnation cannot be ruled out.

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  • Pavel Grigoriev & France Meslé & Vladimir M. Shkolnikov & Evgeny Andreev & Agnieszka Fihel & Marketa Pechholdova & Jacques Vallin, 2014. "The Recent Mortality Decline in Russia: Beginning of the Cardiovascular Revolution?," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 40(1), pages 107-129, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:popdev:v:40:y:2014:i:1:p:107-129
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/j.1728-4457.2014.00652.x
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    Cited by:

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    3. France Meslé & Jacques Vallin, 2017. "The End of East–West Divergence in European Life Expectancies? An Introduction to the Special Issue," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 33(5), pages 615-627, December.
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    8. Lyytikäinen, Laura & Kemppainen, Teemu, 2016. "Regional inequalities in self-rated health in Russia: What is the role of social and economic capital?," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 92-99.
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    10. Giovanni Andrea Cornia, 2016. "The mortality crisis in transition economies," IZA World of Labor, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), pages 298-298, October.
    11. Agnieszka Fihel & Marketa Pechholdová, 2017. "Between ‘Pioneers’ of the Cardiovascular Revolution and Its ‘Late Followers’: Mortality Changes in the Czech Republic and Poland Since 1968," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 33(5), pages 651-678, December.
    12. Aleksey Shchur & Vladimir M. Shkolnikov & Sergey Timonin & Evgeny Andreev & David A. Leon, 2021. "Where Do People Live Longer in Russia in the 21st Century? Life Expectancy across Urban and Rural areas," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 47(4), pages 1049-1074, December.
    13. Sergey Timonin & Inna Danilova & Evgeny Andreev & Vladimir M. Shkolnikov, 2017. "Recent Mortality Trend Reversal in Russia: Are Regions Following the Same Tempo?," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 33(5), pages 733-763, December.
    14. Yuka Minagawa & Yasuhiko Saito, 2023. "A Comparative Analysis of Health Expectancy in Central Asia and Russia: Negative- and Positive-Health Approach," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 42(6), pages 1-19, December.
    15. Andrea Nigri & Elisabetta Barbi & Susanna Levantesi, 2022. "The relationship between longevity and lifespan variation," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 31(3), pages 481-493, September.
    16. Pavel Grigoriev & Markéta Pechholdová, 2017. "Health Convergence Between East and West Germany as Reflected in Long-Term Cause-Specific Mortality Trends: To What Extent was it Due to Reunification?," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 33(5), pages 701-731, December.
    17. José Manuel Aburto & Alyson van Raalte, 2018. "Lifespan Dispersion in Times of Life Expectancy Fluctuation: The Case of Central and Eastern Europe," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 55(6), pages 2071-2096, December.
    18. Rok Hrzic & Tobias Vogt & Helmut Brand & Fanny Janssen, 2021. "The Short-Term Effects of European Integration on Mortality Convergence: A Case Study of European Union’s 2004 Enlargement," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 37(4), pages 909-931, November.
    19. Maria Silvana Salvini & Giuseppe Gabrielli & Anna Paterno & Isabella Corazziari, 2015. "Demographic Trends in Developing Countries: Convergence or Divergence Processes?," Econometrics Working Papers Archive 2015_03, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti".
    20. Yuka S. Minagawa, 2018. "Changing Life Expectancy and Health Expectancy Among Russian Adults: Results from the Past 20 Years," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 37(5), pages 851-869, October.

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