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Agricultural Adjustment in China: Problems and Prospects

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  • D. Gale Johnson

Abstract

Because of the low income elasticity of demand for farm products and the ability of farmers to increase labor productivity, economic growth requires that farm employment decline if farmers are to share in the benefits of such growth. In 1952 approximately 84 percent of China's workers were engaged in agriculture; in 1997 the figure had declined to 41 percent. By 2030 farm employment may account for only 10 percent of the total. The productivity of farm labor must increase at a rapid pace if the 63 percent decline in farm employment does not adversely affect the rate of growth of farm output.

Suggested Citation

  • D. Gale Johnson, 2000. "Agricultural Adjustment in China: Problems and Prospects," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 26(2), pages 319-334, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:popdev:v:26:y:2000:i:2:p:319-334
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2000.00319.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Cooper, Martin R. & Barton, Glen T. & Brodell, Albert P., 1947. "Progress of Farm Mechanization," Miscellaneous Publications 314796, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
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    Cited by:

    1. Tao Yang, Dennis, 2004. "Education and allocative efficiency: household income growth during rural reforms in China," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(1), pages 137-162, June.
    2. Johnson, D. Gale, 2001. "The WTO and agriculture in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 402-404.
    3. Zhang, Xiaobo & Li, Guo, 2003. "Does guanxi matter to nonfarm employment?," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 315-331, June.
    4. Jialu Liu, 2011. "Human capital, migration and rural entrepreneurship in China," Indian Growth and Development Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 4(2), pages 100-122, September.
    5. Liu, Hongbo & Parton, Kevin A. & Zhou, Zhang-Yue & Cox, Rod, 2009. "At-home meat consumption in China: an empirical study," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 53(4), pages 1-17.
    6. Hongbo Liu & Kevin A. Parton & Zhang-Yue Zhou & Rod Cox, 2009. "At-home meat consumption in China: an empirical study ," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 53(4), pages 485-501, October.
    7. Thammarak Moenjak & Kengjai Watjanapukka & Oramone Chantapant & Teeravit Pobsukhirun, 2010. "New Globalization: Risks and Opportunities for Thailand in the Next Decade," Working Papers 2010-04, Monetary Policy Group, Bank of Thailand.
    8. D. Gale Johnson, 2002. "Can Agricultural Labour Adjustment Occur Primarily through Creation of Rural Non-farm Jobs in China?," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 39(12), pages 2163-2174, November.
    9. Cao, Kang Hua & Birchenall, Javier A., 2013. "Agricultural productivity, structural change, and economic growth in post-reform China," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 165-180.

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