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Analysts' Forecasts and the Broker Relationship

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  • Lynn Hodgkinson

Abstract

Analysts' ability to forecast earnings per share has been the subject of considerable debate. A concern highlighted in previous research is the agency problem which may arise when analysts have a close working relationship with the firms for which they are providing forecasts. This paper provides evidence that this relationship does not improve the accuracy of the earnings forecasts, but stimulates optimistic forecasts. In addition, the paper examines whether firm size is a factor in forecast accuracy or bias.

Suggested Citation

  • Lynn Hodgkinson, 2001. "Analysts' Forecasts and the Broker Relationship," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(7‐8), pages 943-961, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jbfnac:v:28:y:2001:i:7-8:p:943-961
    DOI: 10.1111/1468-5957.00399
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    Cited by:

    1. García-Meca, Emma & Sánchez-Ballesta, Juan Pedro, 2006. "Influences on financial analyst forecast errors: A meta-analysis," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 15(1), pages 29-52, February.
    2. Fogarty, Timothy J. & Rogers, Rodney K., 2005. "Financial analysts' reports: an extended institutional theory evaluation," Accounting, Organizations and Society, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 331-356, May.
    3. Thabang Mokoaleli-Mokoteli & Richard J. Taffler & Vineet Agarwal, 2009. "Behavioural Bias and Conflicts of Interest in Analyst Stock Recommendations," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(3-4), pages 384-418.
    4. Beattie, Vivien, 2005. "Moving the financial accounting research front forward: the UK contribution," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 85-114.
    5. Ruei-Shian Wu & Hsiou-wei W. Lin, 2014. "Security analysts' incentive and cognitive processing bias: evidence from analysts' recommendations," Asia-Pacific Journal of Accounting & Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(4), pages 443-471, December.
    6. Weihong Xu, 2008. "Market Reactions to Warnings of Negative Earnings Surprises: Further Evidence," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(7-8), pages 818-836.
    7. Wen-Chuan Miao & Hsiou-Wei Lin, 2023. "Return On Equity Estimates And Fourquadrant Square Position: Evidence From Taiwan," Global Journal of Business Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 17(1), pages 1-16.
    8. Kepsu, Mikko & Schadewitz, Hannu & Vieru, Markku, 2008. "Performance of Analyst's Earnings Forecasting - Evidence from the Finnish Emerging Markets 1987-2005," Discussion Papers 1160, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy.
    9. Kim, Hyun-Dong & Park, Kwangwoo & Song, Kyojik Roy, 2021. "Organization capital and analysts’ forecasts," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 762-778.
    10. Andrew Lepone & Henry Leung & J George Li, 2013. "Unequal access to analyst research," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 38(2), pages 253-277, August.
    11. Thabang Mokoaleli‐Mokoteli & Richard J. Taffler & Vineet Agarwal, 2009. "Behavioural Bias and Conflicts of Interest in Analyst Stock Recommendations," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(3‐4), pages 384-418, April.
    12. Andre Tomfort & Paulina Wiegand, 2020. "Anchoring among German financial analysts: An empirical and background analysis," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 12(5), pages 33-43.
    13. Li, Shi & Wu, Chaopeng & Yang, Shijie, 2021. "Affiliated block shareholders and analyst optimism," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    14. Weihong Xu, 2008. "Market Reactions to Warnings of Negative Earnings Surprises: Further Evidence," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(7‐8), pages 818-836, September.

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