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How is the Taylor Rule Distributed under Endogenous Monetary Regimes?

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  • Xiaochun Liu

Abstract

This paper estimates Taylor rules at various points (quantiles) on the conditional interest†rate distribution for endogenously identified monetary regimes. I find that the Taylor principle upholds only for the upper tails of the interest†rate distribution in monetary Hawkish regimes, but not in monetary interim and Dovish regimes. Moreover, the results show that the Federal Reserve responds more aggressively to inflation at upper tails than at lower tails in both monetary Dovish and Hawkish regimes, implying its significant inflation†avoidance preference. Finally, the Federal Reserve appears to respond to inflation more aggressively during Hawkish regimes than during Dovish regimes across quantiles.

Suggested Citation

  • Xiaochun Liu, 2018. "How is the Taylor Rule Distributed under Endogenous Monetary Regimes?," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 18(2), pages 305-316, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:irvfin:v:18:y:2018:i:2:p:305-316
    DOI: 10.1111/irfi.12131
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Christina Christou & Ruthira Naraidoo & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2022. "Monetary policy reaction to uncertainty in Japan: Evidence from a quantile‐on‐quantile interest rate rule," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2041-2053, April.
    2. Christou Christina & Naraidoo Ruthira & Gupta Rangan, 2020. "Conventional and unconventional monetary policy reaction to uncertainty in advanced economies: evidence from quantile regressions," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(3), pages 1-17, June.

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