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Projection of Construction and Demolition Waste in Norway

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  • Håvard Bergsdal
  • Rolf André Bohne
  • Helge Brattebø

Abstract

Current waste generation from the construction and demolition industry (C&D industry) in Norway is about 1.25 million tonnes per year. This article presents a procedure for projection of future waste amounts by estimating the activity level in the C&D industry, determining specific waste generation factors related to this activity, and finally calculating projections on flows of waste materials leaving the stocks in use and moving into the waste management system. This is done through a simple model of stocks and flows of buildings and materials. Monte Carlo simulation is used in the calculations to account for uncertainties related to the input parameters in order to make the results more robust. The results show a significant increase in C&D waste for the years to come, especially for the large fractions of concrete/bricks and wood. These projections can be a valuable source of information to predict the future need for waste treatment capacity, the dominant waste fractions, and the challenges in future waste handling systems. The proposed method is used in a forthcoming companion article for eco‐efficiency modeling within an evaluation of a C&D waste system.

Suggested Citation

  • Håvard Bergsdal & Rolf André Bohne & Helge Brattebø, 2007. "Projection of Construction and Demolition Waste in Norway," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 11(3), pages 27-39, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:inecol:v:11:y:2007:i:3:p:27-39
    DOI: 10.1162/jiec.2007.1149
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    Cited by:

    1. Bakshan, Amal & Srour, Issam & Chehab, Ghassan & El-Fadel, Mutasem, 2015. "A field based methodology for estimating waste generation rates at various stages of construction projects," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 70-80.
    2. Lai Sheung Au & Seungjun Ahn & Tae Wan Kim, 2018. "System Dynamic Analysis of Impacts of Government Charges on Disposal of Construction and Demolition Waste: A Hong Kong Case Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-17, April.
    3. Lilliana Abarca-Guerrero & Susi Lobo-Ugalde & Nicole Méndez-Carpio & Rosibel Rodríguez-Leandro & Victoria Rudin-Vega, 2022. "Zero Waste Systems: Barriers and Measures to Recycling of Construction and Demolition Waste," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-16, November.
    4. Young-Chan Kim & Yuan-Long Zhang & Won-Jun Park & Gi-Wook Cha & Jung-Wan Kim & Won-Hwa Hong, 2019. "Analysis of Waste Generation Characteristics during New Apartment Construction—Considering the Construction Phase," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(18), pages 1-15, September.
    5. Kleemann, Fritz & Lehner, Hubert & Szczypińska, Anna & Lederer, Jakob & Fellner, Johann, 2017. "Using change detection data to assess amount and composition of demolition waste from buildings in Vienna," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 37-46.
    6. Kien Ton Tong & Ngoc Tan Nguyen & Giang Hoang Nguyen & Tomonori Ishigaki & Ken Kawamoto, 2022. "Management Assessment and Future Projections of Construction and Demolition Waste Generation in Hai Phong City, Vietnam," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-29, August.
    7. Villoria Sáez, Paola & del Río Merino, Mercedes & Porras-Amores, César & San-Antonio González, Alicia, 2014. "Assessing the accumulation of construction waste generation during residential building construction works," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 67-74.
    8. Chen, Rong-Hui & Lin, Yuanhsu & Tseng, Ming-Lang, 2015. "Multicriteria analysis of sustainable development indicators in the construction minerals industry in China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(P1), pages 123-133.
    9. Vivian Wing-Yan Tam & Weisheng Lu, 2016. "Construction Waste Management Profiles, Practices, and Performance: A Cross-Jurisdictional Analysis in Four Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-16, February.
    10. Alexander Koutamanis & Boukje Van Reijn & Ellen Van Bueren, 2017. "Anticipating urban mining," ERES eres2017_70, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    11. Chung, Shan Shan, 2010. "Projecting municipal solid waste: The case of Hong Kong SAR," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 54(11), pages 759-768.
    12. Dong Yang & Mengyuan Dang & Lingwen Sun & Feng Han & Feng Shi & Hongbo Zhang & Hongjun Zhang, 2021. "A System Dynamics Model for Urban Residential Building Stock towards Sustainability: The Case of Jinan, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(18), pages 1-23, September.
    13. Taulo, J.L. & Sebitosi, A.B., 2016. "Material and energy flow analysis of the Malawian tea industry," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 1337-1350.
    14. Luiz Maurício Maués & Norma Beltrão & Isabela Silva, 2021. "GHG Emissions Assessment of Civil Construction Waste Disposal and Transportation Process in the Eastern Amazon," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-26, May.
    15. Henry A. Colorado & Andrea Muñoz & Sergio Neves Monteiro, 2022. "Circular Economy of Construction and Demolition Waste: A Case Study of Colombia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-18, June.
    16. Gi-Wook Cha & Won-Hwa Hong & Se-Hyu Choi & Young-Chan Kim, 2023. "Developing an Optimal Ensemble Model to Estimate Building Demolition Waste Generation Rate," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-20, June.
    17. Li, Jingru & Ding, Zhikun & Mi, Xuming & Wang, Jiayuan, 2013. "A model for estimating construction waste generation index for building project in China," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 20-26.
    18. David N. Bristow & Eugene A. Mohareb, 2020. "From the urban metabolism to the urban immune system," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 24(2), pages 300-312, April.
    19. Zhikun Ding & Mengjie Shi & Chen Lu & Zezhou Wu & Dan Chong & Wenyan Gong, 2019. "Predicting Renovation Waste Generation Based on Grey System Theory: A Case Study of Shenzhen," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(16), pages 1-13, August.

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