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Searching for the Downsian Voter with a Simple Structural Model

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  • D. Grant

Abstract

Studies of voter turnout consistently find that turnout responds to the closeness of the election, yet it is widely claimed that the probability of casting the deciding vote is too minute to be of consequence. We provide evidence on this puzzle by deriving a structural rational voting model in the form of a relatively simple regression equation, and fitting it to data from a large sample of US congressional elections.

Suggested Citation

  • D. Grant, 1998. "Searching for the Downsian Voter with a Simple Structural Model," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 10(2), pages 107-126, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:ecopol:v:10:y:1998:i:2:p:107-126
    DOI: 10.1111/1468-0343.00040
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    Cited by:

    1. Darren Grant & Michael Toma, 2008. "Elemental tests of the traditional rational voting model," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 137(1), pages 173-195, October.
    2. Darren Grant, 2017. "The ballot order effect is huge: evidence from Texas," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 172(3), pages 421-442, September.

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