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Effects of Quantitative Easing Monetary Policy Exit Strategy on East Asian Currencies

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  • Eiji Ogawa
  • Zhiqian Wang

Abstract

type="main"> With the end of the Federal Reserve Board's quantitative easing monetary policy, it is expected that the federal funds rate will be raised from almost 0% in the near future. We investigate the effects of changes in monetary policy, especially the effects of raising interest rates in the United States on East Asian currencies. Specifically, we use data on interest rates as a monetary policy instrument to investigate how changes in the US interest rates affect interest rates, exchange rates, and capital flows in East Asian emerging market economies. The analytical results suggest that East Asian countries would face capital outflows that depreciate their home currencies, with upward pressure against their own interest rates when the Federal Reserve Board raises the interest rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Eiji Ogawa & Zhiqian Wang, 2016. "Effects of Quantitative Easing Monetary Policy Exit Strategy on East Asian Currencies," The Developing Economies, Institute of Developing Economies, vol. 54(1), pages 103-129, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:deveco:v:54:y:2016:i:1:p:103-129
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bowman, David & Londono, Juan M. & Sapriza, Horacio, 2015. "U.S. unconventional monetary policy and transmission to emerging market economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 27-59.
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    3. OGAWA Eiji & WANG Zhiqian, 2015. "Effects of a Quantitative Easing Monetary Policy Exit Strategy on East Asian Currencies," Discussion papers 15037, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
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    5. Lim, Jamus Jerome & Mohapatra, Sanket & Stocker, Marc, 2014. "Tinker, taper, QE, bye ? the effect of quantitative easing on financial flows to developing countries," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6820, The World Bank.
    6. OGAWA Eiji & Zhiqian WANG, 2013. "How Did the Global Financial Crisis Misalign East Asian Currencies?," Discussion papers 13096, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
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    Cited by:

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    4. OGAWA, Eiji & SHIMIZU, Junko & LUO, Pengfei, 2023. "Effects of Us Interest Rate Hike and Global Risk on Daily Capital Flows in Emerging Market Countries," Hitotsubashi Journal of commerce and management, Hitotsubashi University, vol. 57(1), pages 1-31, October.
    5. Xiaoyong Xiao & Jing Huang, 2018. "Dynamic Connectedness of International Crude Oil Prices: The Diebold–Yilmaz Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-16, September.

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