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Impacts Of Trade Liberalization On Employment In Vietnam: A System Generalized Method Of Moments Estimation

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  • Tran Nhuan KIEN
  • Yoon HEO

Abstract

Using a system generalized method of moments model, the present paper investigates the impacts of trade liberalization on employment in Vietnam from 1999 to 2004. The results show that the increase in industrial output increased labor demand, whereas the increasing wage rate led to a decline in the employment level. The impact of export expansion on derived labor demand was positive and statistically significant, indicating that the higher level of exports than previously presented employment opportunities for the country's large labor surplus. As far as imports are concerned, empirical observations indicate that imports did not necessarily negatively impact Vietnam's employment level.

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  • Tran Nhuan KIEN & Yoon HEO, 2009. "Impacts Of Trade Liberalization On Employment In Vietnam: A System Generalized Method Of Moments Estimation," The Developing Economies, Institute of Developing Economies, vol. 47(1), pages 81-103, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:deveco:v:47:y:2009:i:1:p:81-103
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1746-1049.2009.00077.x
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    2. Tandon, Anjali, 2022. "Employment implications of India’s international trade – A macro view based on Input-Output analysis," MPRA Paper 112778, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Paul, Bino & Patnaik, Unmesh & Sahu, Santosh Kumar & Awasthi, Mansi, 2020. "What Does Increasing Labour Homogeneity Mean for Indian Manufacturing?," MPRA Paper 102904, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Alkhateeb, Tarek Tawfik Yousef & Mahmood, Haider & Sultan, Zafar Ahmad & Ahmad, Nawaz, 2017. "Trade Openness and Employment Nexus in Saudi Arabia," MPRA Paper 109451, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Nazia Anjum & Zahid Perviz, 2016. "Effect of Trade Openness on Unemployment in Case of Labour and Capital Abundant Countries," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 5(1), pages 44-58, March.
    6. Huong Vu & Steven Lim & Mark Holmes & Tinh Doan, 2013. "Firm Exporting and Employee Benefits: First Evidence from Vietnam Manufacturing SMEs," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(1), pages 519-535.
    7. Sanjeev Kumar & Falguni Pattanaik & Ajay K. Singh, 2021. "Modeling Trade–Employment Elasticity Nexus: Evidence from India," Emerging Economy Studies, International Management Institute, vol. 7(1), pages 62-75, May.
    8. Mohamed Goaied & Seifallah Sassi, 2015. "Trade liberalisation and employment intensity of sectoral output growth: Lessons from Tunisia," The Economic and Labour Relations Review, , vol. 26(2), pages 261-275, June.
    9. Hlalefang Khobai & Clement Moyo, 2021. "Trade openness and industry performance in SADC countries: is the manufacturing sector different?," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 18(1), pages 105-126, February.
    10. Xavier Cirera & Dirk Willenbockel & Rajith W.D. Lakshman, 2014. "Evidence On The Impact Of Tariff Reductions On Employment In Developing Countries: A Systematic Review," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(3), pages 449-471, July.
    11. Vu, Van Huong, 2012. "Does export participation affect wages and employment quality? the case of Vietnamese SMEs," MPRA Paper 38696, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Poole, Jennifer & Santos-Paulino, Amelia & Sokolova, Maria & DiCaprio, Alisa, 2017. "The Impact of Trade and Technology on Skills in Viet Nam," ADBI Working Papers 770, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    13. Dang, Thi Kim Phung & Turnhout, Esther & Arts, Bas, 2012. "Changing forestry discourses in Vietnam in the past 20years," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 31-41.
    14. Hanan Nazier, 2019. "Estimating Labor Demand Elasticities and Elasticities of Substitution in Egyptian Manufacturing Sector: A Firm-Level Static Analysis," The Indian Journal of Labour Economics, Springer;The Indian Society of Labour Economics (ISLE), vol. 62(4), pages 549-575, December.
    15. Kazi Mohammed Kamal Uddin & Munem Ahmad Chowdhury, 2020. "Impact of FDI on Employment Level in Bangladesh: A VECM Approach," International Journal of Applied Economics, Finance and Accounting, Online Academic Press, vol. 8(1), pages 30-37.
    16. Kaung Myat Ko & Poomthan Rangkakulnuwat & Sasiwimon W. Paweenawat, 2015. "The Effect of International Trade on Labor Demand in ASEAN5," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 35(2), pages 1034-1041.
    17. Aman Saggu & Witada Anukoonwattaka, 2015. "Commodity Price Crash: Risks to Exports and Economic Growth in Asia-Pacific LDCs and LLDCs," Trade Insights Series 6, United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP).
    18. Huy Hoang Nguyen & Quang Hoan Truong, 2022. "The Nexus between Inward Foreign Direct Investment and Global Value Chains in Developing Countries: A Case Study of Viet Nam," Working Papers DP-2021-51, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA).
    19. Joyce P. Jacobsen & Sooyoung A. Lee, 2024. "Firm Survival and Gender Composition of Employment: Evidence from Vietnam," Wesleyan Economics Working Papers 2024-009, Wesleyan University, Department of Economics.
    20. Yemi Meroyi, 2016. "Comparative Analysis of Impact of Trade Liberalization on Employment Generation during the Military and Civilian Regimes in Nigeria (1980-2012)," International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, vol. 6(11), pages 110-134, November.
    21. Fukase, Emiko, 2013. "Export Liberalization, Job Creation, and the Skill Premium: Evidence from the US–Vietnam Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA)," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 317-337.
    22. Karishma Banga, 2017. "Impact of Linking into Global Value Chains on Indian Employment," Working Papers 1701, Council on Economic Policies.
    23. Ben Salha, Ousama, 2013. "Does economic globalization affect the level and volatility of labor demand by skill? New insights from the Tunisian manufacturing industries," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 572-597.

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